FC Politehnica Timisoara
vs
CSM Reşiţa
Garuda Lions Prediction: FC Politehnica Timisoara
1 – 0 Predicted score · 12% model probability
- WhyHigher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.78 vs 0.81.
- RiskGrade C: weaker evidence — both clubs are rated on goals scored and conceded, not on the chances they created.
FC Politehnica Timisoara vs CSM Reşiţa overview
Garuda Lions analysis: FC Politehnica Timisoara vs CSM Reşiţa
| Probability | FC Politehnica Timisoara | Draw | CSM Reşiţa |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 59.4% | 25.1% | 15.5% |
| Market | 47.0% | 27.1% | 25.9% |
| Final | 50.1% | 26.6% | 23.3% |
| Edge | +3.1% | -0.5% | -2.6% |
Why FC Politehnica Timisoara
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.78 vs 0.81.
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 3 for the opposition.
- The market prices FC Politehnica Timisoara below our published probability: +3.1 percentage points of edge.
Best available price on the pick: 1.95, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: -2.3% per unit staked (our 50.1% × 1.95 − 1).
FC Politehnica Timisoara vs CSM Reşiţa match preview
FC Politehnica Timisoara enters this match with a 59% probability of winning, supported by a recent form of D-W-W-D-W-W. The team is expected to score an average of 1.78 goals, with the most likely scoreline being 1-0, which has a 12% likelihood. Their opponents, CSM Reşiţa, have a lower probability of 16% to win and an expected goals figure of 0.81.
CSM Reşiţa's recent form shows a mix of results with W-L-L-W-W-L. The probabilities suggest a competitive match, with a 25% chance of a draw. Additionally, there is a 48% likelihood of over 2.5 goals and a 47% chance that both teams will score, indicating potential for an engaging contest.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
FC Politehnica Timisoara and CSM Reşiţa expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.59
FC Politehnica Timisoara and CSM Reşiţa attack and defence ratings
FC Politehnica Timisoara
CSM Reşiţa
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 13 fixtures
- Concordia v ASA Targu Mures — match page
- Metaloglobus vs Dumbrăviţa
- CS Afumati vs FC Bacau — team news & stats
- Unirea Slobozia v CSM Satu Mare — match page
- Viitorul Şelimbăr vs Ştefăneşti — team news & stats
- Bihor Oradea v Slatina — match page
- CS Dinamo București vs CSM Ramnicu Valcea
- Metalul Buzău vs CSA Steaua Bucureşti
Before and after this match
FC Politehnica Timisoara vs CSM Reşiţa markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | FC Politehnica Timisoara | 50.1% | 2.00 | +3.1% | 1.95 |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 52.2% | 1.92 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 52.9% | 1.89 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 76.7% | 1.30 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 40.6% | 2.46 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | FC Politehnica Timisoara | 50.1% |
| Draw | 26.6% | |
| CSM Reşiţa | 23.3% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 47.8% |
| Under 2.5 | 52.2% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 47.1% |
| No | 52.9% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 76.7% |
| 12 (either side) | 73.4% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 49.9% | |
| Handicap -1 | FC Politehnica Timisoara win | 34.9% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 24.5% | |
| Loss | 40.6% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-0 | 12.3% |
| 2-0 | 11.9% | |
| 1-1 | 11.9% |
FC Politehnica Timisoara vs CSM Reşiţa stats
FC Politehnica Timisoara and CSM Reşiţa recent form
| FC Politehnica Timisoara |
DWWDWW |
| CSM Reşiţa |
WLLWWL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
FC Politehnica Timisoara and CSM Reşiţa season so far
FC Politehnica Timisoara record
- They have won 8 of their 11 league games this season, scoring 1.9 goals per match.
- They average 2.4 goals per game on the road against 1.5 at home.
- They have kept 5 clean sheets in 11 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- 30% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
CSM Reşiţa record
- They have won 7 of their 11 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 11 matches.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 11 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
FC Politehnica Timisoara vs CSM Reşiţa head-to-head
No recent meetings on record
FC Politehnica Timisoara vs CSM Reşiţa odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 47.0%, draw 27.1%, away 25.9%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.95 | 3.34 | 3.36 |
| Betano | 1.93 | 3.40 | 3.70 |
| Dafabet | 1.90 | 3.35 | 3.65 |
| Marathonbet | 1.93 | 3.34 | 3.28 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
9 snapshots recorded, from .