Metalul Buzău
vs
CSA Steaua Bucureşti
Garuda Lions Prediction: Metalul Buzău
1 – 0 Predicted score · 15% model probability
- WhyHigher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.55 vs 0.68.
- RiskGrade C: weaker evidence — both clubs are rated on goals scored and conceded, not on the chances they created.
Metalul Buzău vs CSA Steaua Bucureşti overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Metalul Buzău vs CSA Steaua Bucureşti
| Probability | Metalul Buzău | Draw | CSA Steaua Bucureşti |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 57.2% | 27.7% | 15.2% |
| Market | 43.2% | 27.8% | 29.1% |
| Final | 46.7% | 27.7% | 25.6% |
| Edge | +3.5% | -0.0% | -3.5% |
Why Metalul Buzău
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.55 vs 0.68.
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
- The market prices Metalul Buzău below our published probability: +3.5 percentage points of edge.
Best available price on the pick: 2.12, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: -1.1% per unit staked (our 46.7% × 2.12 − 1).
Metalul Buzău vs CSA Steaua Bucureşti match preview
Metalul Buzău enters this match with a strong recent form, having won four of their last five games, while CSA Steaua Bucureşti has had a mixed performance with two wins and three draws in their last five matches. According to our model, Metalul Buzău has a 57% probability of winning, with the most likely scoreline being 1-0 at 15%. The expected goals for Metalul Buzău stand at 1.55, compared to CSA Steaua Bucureşti's 0.68.
Both teams have shown some potential for scoring, as our model indicates a 40% chance for both teams to score and a 39% probability of over 2.5 goals in the match. In their last head-to-head encounter, there were no wins for either side, with one draw recorded. The confidence grade for this prediction is C.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Metalul Buzău and CSA Steaua Bucureşti expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.23
Metalul Buzău and CSA Steaua Bucureşti attack and defence ratings
Metalul Buzău
CSA Steaua Bucureşti
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 13 fixtures
- Concordia v ASA Targu Mures — match page
- Metaloglobus vs Dumbrăviţa
- CS Afumati vs FC Bacau — team news & stats
- Unirea Slobozia v CSM Satu Mare — match page
- Viitorul Şelimbăr vs Ştefăneşti — team news & stats
- Bihor Oradea v Slatina — match page
- FC Politehnica Timisoara v CSM Reşiţa — match page
- CS Dinamo București vs CSM Ramnicu Valcea
Before and after this match
Metalul Buzău vs CSA Steaua Bucureşti markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Metalul Buzău | 46.7% | 2.14 | +3.5% | 2.12 |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 61.4% | 1.63 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 59.9% | 1.67 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 74.4% | 1.34 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 42.8% | 2.33 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Metalul Buzău | 46.7% |
| Draw | 27.7% | |
| CSA Steaua Bucureşti | 25.6% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 38.6% |
| Under 2.5 | 61.4% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 40.1% |
| No | 59.9% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 74.4% |
| 12 (either side) | 72.3% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 53.3% | |
| Handicap -1 | Metalul Buzău win | 31.2% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 26.0% | |
| Loss | 42.8% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-0 | 15.5% |
| 2-0 | 12.9% | |
| 1-1 | 12.5% |
Metalul Buzău vs CSA Steaua Bucureşti stats
Metalul Buzău and CSA Steaua Bucureşti recent form
| Metalul Buzău |
LWDWWW |
| CSA Steaua Bucureşti |
DWDDWL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Metalul Buzău and CSA Steaua Bucureşti season so far
Metalul Buzău record
- They have won 6 of their 11 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
- They average 2.0 goals per game at home against 0.5 on the road.
- They have kept 7 clean sheets in 11 matches.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 11 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- 37% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
CSA Steaua Bucureşti record
- They have won 2 of their 11 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 11 matches.
Metalul Buzău vs CSA Steaua Bucureşti head-to-head
Last 1 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-22 | Metalul Buzău | CSA Steaua Bucureşti | Liga II | 1-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Metalul Buzău vs CSA Steaua Bucureşti odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 43.2%, draw 27.8%, away 29.1%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.09 | 3.24 | 3.10 |
| Betano | 2.12 | 3.25 | 3.30 |
| Marathonbet | 2.09 | 3.30 | 2.94 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
5 snapshots recorded, from .