Popești-Leordeni
vs
Metalul Buzău
Garuda Lions Prediction: Popești-Leordeni
1 – 0 Predicted score · 10% model probability
- WhyBetter recent form: 5 wins in the last 6 vs 4 for the opposition.
- RiskNo bookmaker prices recorded yet, so this pick has not been checked against the market.
Popești-Leordeni vs Metalul Buzău overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Popești-Leordeni vs Metalul Buzău
| Probability | Popești-Leordeni | Draw | Metalul Buzău |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 40.0% | 30.0% | 30.0% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 40.0% | 30.0% | 30.0% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Popești-Leordeni
- Better recent form: 5 wins in the last 6 vs 4 for the opposition.
Popești-Leordeni vs Metalul Buzău match preview
Popești-Leordeni faces Metalul Buzău in a Liga II matchup, with our model assigning a 40% probability of a home win, while both a draw and an away victory are estimated at 30%. The most likely scoreline predicted is 1-0, with a 10% chance. Expected goals suggest Popești-Leordeni may score 1.31, compared to Metalul Buzău's 1.10, indicating a potentially competitive match.
In terms of recent form, Popești-Leordeni has recorded three wins, one loss, and two additional wins in their last six matches, while Metalul Buzău has been in strong form with four wins, one draw, and one loss in their last six games. The probabilities for over 2.5 goals stand at 43%, and both teams scoring is estimated at 50%.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Popești-Leordeni and Metalul Buzău expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.42
Popești-Leordeni and Metalul Buzău attack and defence ratings
Popești-Leordeni
Metalul Buzău
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 12 fixtures
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- CSM Ramnicu Valcea vs CS Afumati
- Dumbrăviţa vs FC Politehnica Timisoara — team news & stats
- CSM Satu Mare vs Viitorul Şelimbăr
- Ştefăneşti v Chindia Targoviste — match page
- Cetatea Suceava vs Bihor Oradea
- FC Bacau vs Metaloglobus — team news & stats
Before and after this match
Popești-Leordeni vs Metalul Buzău markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Popești-Leordeni | 40.0% | 2.50 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 56.6% | 1.77 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 50.1% | 1.99 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 70.0% | 1.43 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 60.0% | 1.67 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Popești-Leordeni | 40.0% |
| Draw | 30.0% | |
| Metalul Buzău | 30.0% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 43.4% |
| Under 2.5 | 56.6% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 50.1% |
| No | 49.9% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 70.0% |
| 12 (either side) | 70.0% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 60.0% | |
| Handicap -1 | Popești-Leordeni win | 18.8% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21.2% | |
| Loss | 60.0% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 14.2% |
| 1-0 | 10.4% | |
| 0-0 | 10.2% |
Popești-Leordeni vs Metalul Buzău stats
Popești-Leordeni and Metalul Buzău recent form
| Popești-Leordeni |
WWWLWW |
| Metalul Buzău |
WDWWWD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Popești-Leordeni and Metalul Buzău season so far
Popești-Leordeni record
- They have won 6 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 2.4 goals per match.
- They average 3.0 goals per game at home against 1.8 on the road.
- 41% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Metalul Buzău record
- They have won 5 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
- They average 1.8 goals per game at home against 0.5 on the road.
- They have kept 6 clean sheets in 10 matches.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 10 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- 37% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.