ASA Targu Mures
vs
Unirea Slobozia
Garuda Lions Prediction: ASA Targu Mures
2 – 1 Predicted score · 9% model probability
- WhyHigher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.66 vs 1.34.
- RiskNo bookmaker prices recorded yet, so this pick has not been checked against the market.
ASA Targu Mures vs Unirea Slobozia overview
Garuda Lions analysis: ASA Targu Mures vs Unirea Slobozia
| Probability | ASA Targu Mures | Draw | Unirea Slobozia |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 43.8% | 26.2% | 30.0% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 43.8% | 26.2% | 30.0% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why ASA Targu Mures
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.66 vs 1.34.
ASA Targu Mures vs Unirea Slobozia match preview
ASA Targu Mures faces Unirea Slobozia in a Liga II matchup, with the probabilities indicating a 44% chance of a home victory for ASA Targu Mures, while Unirea Slobozia has a 30% chance of winning, and a draw stands at 26%. The most likely scoreline predicted by our model is 2-1, occurring at a rate of 9%. The expected goals for ASA Targu Mures is 1.66, compared to 1.34 for Unirea Slobozia.
In terms of recent form, ASA Targu Mures has recorded two losses, one win, one draw, and one more loss in their last five matches. Conversely, Unirea Slobozia's recent performances include one draw, two losses, one win, and one more loss. The model suggests a 58% likelihood of over 2.5 goals and a 61% chance that both teams will score.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
ASA Targu Mures and Unirea Slobozia expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.00
ASA Targu Mures and Unirea Slobozia attack and defence ratings
ASA Targu Mures
Unirea Slobozia
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 12 fixtures
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- Dumbrăviţa vs FC Politehnica Timisoara — team news & stats
- CSM Satu Mare vs Viitorul Şelimbăr
- Ştefăneşti v Chindia Targoviste — match page
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- FC Bacau vs Metaloglobus — team news & stats
Before and after this match
ASA Targu Mures vs Unirea Slobozia markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | ASA Targu Mures | 43.8% | 2.28 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 57.7% | 1.73 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 60.9% | 1.64 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 73.8% | 1.35 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 56.2% | 1.78 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | ASA Targu Mures | 43.8% |
| Draw | 26.2% | |
| Unirea Slobozia | 30.0% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 57.7% |
| Under 2.5 | 42.3% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 60.9% |
| No | 39.1% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 70.0% |
| 12 (either side) | 73.8% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 56.2% | |
| Handicap -1 | ASA Targu Mures win | 23.4% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20.4% | |
| Loss | 56.2% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 12.2% |
| 2-1 | 9.2% | |
| 1-2 | 7.4% |
ASA Targu Mures vs Unirea Slobozia stats
ASA Targu Mures and Unirea Slobozia recent form
| ASA Targu Mures |
LLWDWL |
| Unirea Slobozia |
DLWLLW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
ASA Targu Mures and Unirea Slobozia season so far
ASA Targu Mures record
- They have won 3 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
- They average 2.0 goals per game at home against 0.8 on the road.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 10 matches.
- 33% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Unirea Slobozia record
- They have won 2 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
- They average 2.2 goals per game at home against 0.5 on the road.
- They have failed to score in 5 of 10 matches.
- 52% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.