Liga II · ·Matchday 12

CSM Satu Mare vs Viitorul Şelimbăr

Garuda Lions Prediction: CSM Satu Mare

1 – 0 Predicted score · 15% model probability

  • WhyHigher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.51 vs 0.74.
  • RiskNo bookmaker prices recorded yet, so this pick has not been checked against the market.

Daniel Prodan Stadium, Satu Mare

CSM Satu Mare 55%
Draw 28%
Viitorul Şelimbăr 17%

Confidence: Low  ·  model-only, no market odds

Chance CSM Satu Mare wins
55%
most likely outcome
Chance of a goal
88%
at least one goal in the match
Both teams score
42%
goals at both ends
Most likely score with our pick
1 – 0
15% of simulated outcomes

CSM Satu Mare vs Viitorul Şelimbăr overview

Garuda Lions analysis: CSM Satu Mare vs Viitorul Şelimbăr

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityCSM Satu MareDrawViitorul Şelimbăr
Model54.6%28.4%17.0%
Market———
Final54.6%28.4%17.0%
Edge———

Confidence: Low

Why CSM Satu Mare

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.51 vs 0.74.

CSM Satu Mare vs Viitorul Şelimbăr match preview

CSM Satu Mare enters the match with a 55% probability of winning against Viitorul Şelimbăr, who has a 17% chance of victory. The most likely scoreline predicted is 1-0, with a 15% likelihood, while the chances of over 2.5 goals occurring stand at 39%. CSM Satu Mare's expected goals are 1.51, compared to Viitorul Şelimbăr's 0.74.

In terms of recent form, CSM Satu Mare has recorded three draws and two losses in their last six matches, while Viitorul Şelimbăr has struggled with four consecutive losses followed by one draw and a single win. The head-to-head record shows CSM Satu Mare with one win and one draw in their last two encounters against Viitorul Şelimbăr, who has yet to secure a win in this matchup.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

CSM Satu Mare ↓ / Viitorul Şelim → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 12% 1 15% 13% 2 12% 9% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 88%
2+ goals 67%
3+ goals 39%
No goals 12%

CSM Satu Mare and Viitorul Şelimbăr expected goals

CSM Satu Mare 1.51
Viitorul Şelimbăr 0.74

Total expected goals: 2.25

CSM Satu Mare and Viitorul Şelimbăr attack and defence ratings

CSM Satu Mare

Attack 0.74 -26%
Defence 0.87 -13%

Viitorul Şelimbăr

Attack 0.71 -29%
Defence 1.30 +30%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Other Matchday 12 fixtures

Liga II

Before and after this match

CSM Satu Mare vs Viitorul Şelimbăr markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 CSM Satu Mare 54.6% 1.83 — —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 61.0% 1.64 — —
Both teams to score No 58.2% 1.72 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 83.0% 1.21 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 45.4% 2.20 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2CSM Satu Mare54.6%
Draw28.4%
Viitorul Şelimbăr17.0%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.539.0%
Under 2.561.0%
Both teams to scoreYes41.8%
No58.2%
Double chance1X (home or draw)83.0%
12 (either side)71.6%
X2 (draw or away)45.4%
Handicap -1CSM Satu Mare win29.1%
Push (exactly one goal)25.5%
Loss45.4%
Correct score (top 3)1-014.8%
1-112.9%
2-012.0%

CSM Satu Mare vs Viitorul Şelimbăr stats

CSM Satu Mare and Viitorul Şelimbăr recent form

newest first

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

CSM Satu Mare and Viitorul Şelimbăr season so far

league record

CSM Satu Mare record

  • They have won 0 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 0.5 goals per match.
  • They average 0.8 goals per game on the road against 0.2 at home.
  • They have failed to score in 6 of 10 matches.
  • 30% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Viitorul Şelimbăr record

  • They have won 1 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 0.7 goals per match.
  • They have failed to score in 3 of 10 matches.
  • 39% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

CSM Satu Mare vs Viitorul Şelimbăr head-to-head

Last 2 meetings

1CSM Satu Mare wins 1Draws 0Viitorul Şelimbăr wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-04-18CSM Satu MareViitorul ŞelimbărLiga II4-0
2025-09-20Viitorul ŞelimbărCSM Satu MareLiga II1-1

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

CSM Satu Mare vs Viitorul Şelimbăr odds

No bookmaker odds yet

Bookmakers usually price a fixture ~14 days before kickoff. We record snapshots twice a day, so the comparison table and price movement will appear here as soon as the market opens. Until then every probability on this page is model-only.

Prediction snapshot 1 CSM Satu Mare Predicted score 1 – 0 Low Bet Now
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