Liga II · ·Matchday 12

Ştefăneşti vs Chindia Targoviste

Garuda Lions Prediction: Chindia Targoviste

0 – 2 Predicted score · 9% model probability

  • WhyHigher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.89 vs 0.92.
  • RiskNo bookmaker prices recorded yet, so this pick has not been checked against the market.
Ştefăneşti 8%
Draw 15%
Chindia Targoviste 77%

Confidence: Low  ·  model-only, no market odds

Chance Chindia Targoviste wins
77%
most likely outcome
Chance of a goal
97%
at least one goal in the match
Both teams score
57%
goals at both ends
Most likely score with our pick
0 – 2
9% of simulated outcomes

Ştefăneşti vs Chindia Targoviste overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Ştefăneşti vs Chindia Targoviste

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityŞtefăneştiDrawChindia Targoviste
Model8.4%14.5%77.1%
Market———
Final8.4%14.5%77.1%
Edge———

Confidence: Low

Why Chindia Targoviste

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.89 vs 0.92.
  • Better recent form: 5 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.

Ştefăneşti vs Chindia Targoviste match preview

Ştefăneşti faces Chindia Targoviste in a Liga II clash on October 31, 2026. The model indicates a significant advantage for Chindia Targoviste, assigning them a 77% probability of winning compared to just 8% for Ştefăneşti. Recent form highlights a stark contrast, with Ştefăneşti on a six-match losing streak, while Chindia Targoviste has won five of their last six matches.

The expected goals suggest a dominant performance from Chindia Targoviste, with an expected total of 2.89 goals compared to Ştefăneşti's 0.92. The most likely scoreline predicted by the model is 0-2, occurring with a 9% probability. Additionally, there is a 73% chance of over 2.5 goals in the match and a 57% probability that both teams will score.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Ştefăneşti ↓ / Chindia Targov → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 9% 9% 13% 1 9% 8% 12% 2 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 97%
2+ goals 90%
3+ goals 73%
No goals 3%

Ştefăneşti and Chindia Targoviste expected goals

Ştefăneşti 0.92
Chindia Targoviste 2.89

Total expected goals: 3.81

Ştefăneşti and Chindia Targoviste attack and defence ratings

Ştefăneşti

Attack 0.60 -40%
Defence 1.59 +59%

Chindia Targoviste

Attack 1.54 +54%
Defence 0.97 -3%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Other Matchday 12 fixtures

Liga II

Before and after this match

Ştefăneşti vs Chindia Targoviste markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Chindia Targoviste 77.1% 1.30 — —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 73.2% 1.37 — —
Both teams to score Yes 57.3% 1.75 — —
Double chance X2 (draw or away) 91.6% 1.09 — —
Handicap -1 Chindia Targoviste win 58.0% 1.72 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Ştefăneşti8.4%
Draw14.5%
Chindia Targoviste77.1%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.573.2%
Under 2.526.8%
Both teams to scoreYes57.3%
No42.7%
Double chance1X (home or draw)22.9%
12 (either side)85.5%
X2 (draw or away)91.6%
Handicap -1Chindia Targoviste win58.0%
Push (exactly one goal)19.0%
Loss22.9%
Correct score (top 3)0-29.3%
0-38.9%
1-28.5%

Ştefăneşti vs Chindia Targoviste stats

Ştefăneşti and Chindia Targoviste recent form

newest first

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Ştefăneşti and Chindia Targoviste season so far

league record

Ştefăneşti record

  • They have won 2 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 0.7 goals per match.
  • They average 1.2 goals per game at home against 0.2 on the road.
  • They have failed to score in 5 of 10 matches.

Chindia Targoviste record

  • They have won 7 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 2.4 goals per match.
  • They average 2.8 goals per game at home against 2.2 on the road.
  • They have kept 3 clean sheets in 10 matches.
  • 39% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Ştefăneşti vs Chindia Targoviste head-to-head

No recent meetings on record

Our head-to-head history covers these clubs' top-flight matches from 2014 onwards — these two simply haven't crossed paths in that window (newly promoted sides and cross-division pairings are the usual reason). The prediction doesn't rely on H2H: it is built from each team's current expected-goals ratings.

Ştefăneşti vs Chindia Targoviste odds

No bookmaker odds yet

Bookmakers usually price a fixture ~14 days before kickoff. We record snapshots twice a day, so the comparison table and price movement will appear here as soon as the market opens. Until then every probability on this page is model-only.

Prediction snapshot 2 Chindia Targoviste Predicted score 0 – 2 Low Bet Now
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