FC Bacau
vs
Metaloglobus
Garuda Lions Prediction: FC Bacau
2 – 0 Predicted score · 12% model probability
- WhyHigher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.96 vs 0.79.
- RiskNo bookmaker prices recorded yet, so this pick has not been checked against the market.
FC Bacau vs Metaloglobus overview
Garuda Lions analysis: FC Bacau vs Metaloglobus
| Probability | FC Bacau | Draw | Metaloglobus |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 63.8% | 22.9% | 13.4% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 63.8% | 22.9% | 13.4% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why FC Bacau
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.96 vs 0.79.
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
FC Bacau vs Metaloglobus match preview
FC Bacau enters the match against Metaloglobus with a strong probability of winning at 64%, while Metaloglobus stands at just 13%. The expected goals for FC Bacau are 1.96, compared to Metaloglobus's 0.79, indicating a significant offensive advantage for the home side. Recent form shows FC Bacau with two wins in their last five matches, while Metaloglobus has struggled, recording only one win in the same period.
The most likely scoreline predicted by our model is 2-0 in favor of FC Bacau, with a 12% probability. Additionally, there is a 52% chance of over 2.5 goals in the match, and both teams scoring has a probability of 48%. This suggests that while FC Bacau is favored, there may be opportunities for Metaloglobus to challenge defensively.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
FC Bacau and Metaloglobus expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.75
FC Bacau and Metaloglobus attack and defence ratings
FC Bacau
Metaloglobus
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 12 fixtures
- CSA Steaua Bucureşti v CS Dinamo București — match page
- ASA Targu Mures vs Unirea Slobozia — team news & stats
- CSM Ramnicu Valcea vs CS Afumati
- Popești-Leordeni vs Metalul Buzău — team news & stats
- Dumbrăviţa vs FC Politehnica Timisoara — team news & stats
- CSM Satu Mare vs Viitorul Şelimbăr
- Ştefăneşti v Chindia Targoviste — match page
- Cetatea Suceava vs Bihor Oradea
Before and after this match
FC Bacau vs Metaloglobus markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | FC Bacau | 63.8% | 1.57 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 51.8% | 1.93 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 52.1% | 1.92 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 86.6% | 1.15 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | FC Bacau win | 39.7% | 2.52 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | FC Bacau | 63.8% |
| Draw | 22.9% | |
| Metaloglobus | 13.4% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 51.8% |
| Under 2.5 | 48.2% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 47.9% |
| No | 52.1% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 86.6% |
| 12 (either side) | 77.1% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 36.2% | |
| Handicap -1 | FC Bacau win | 39.7% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 24.1% | |
| Loss | 36.2% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 2-0 | 12.3% |
| 1-0 | 11.6% | |
| 1-1 | 10.9% |
FC Bacau vs Metaloglobus stats
FC Bacau and Metaloglobus recent form
| FC Bacau |
LWLDWW |
| Metaloglobus |
DLWDLL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
FC Bacau and Metaloglobus season so far
FC Bacau record
- They have won 5 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 2.2 goals per match.
- They average 2.8 goals per game at home against 1.2 on the road.
- They have kept 5 clean sheets in 10 matches.
- 35% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Metaloglobus record
- They have won 3 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 10 matches.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 10 matches.
- 43% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.