Liga II · ·Matchday 11

FC Politehnica Timisoara vs FC Bacau

Garuda Lions Prediction: FC Politehnica Timisoara

2 – 1 Predicted score · 10% model probability

Stadionul Electrica

FC Politehnica Timisoara 48%
Draw 26%
FC Bacau 25%

Confidence: Low  ·  model-only, no market odds

Chance FC Politehnica Timisoara wins
48%
most likely outcome
Chance of a goal
93%
at least one goal in the match
Both teams score
57%
goals at both ends
Most likely score with our pick
2 – 1
10% of simulated outcomes

FC Politehnica Timisoara vs FC Bacau overview

Garuda Lions analysis: FC Politehnica Timisoara vs FC Bacau

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityFC Politehnica TimisoaraDrawFC Bacau
Model48.3%26.3%25.4%
Market———
Final48.3%26.3%25.4%
Edge———

Confidence: Low

Why FC Politehnica Timisoara

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.69 vs 1.17.
  • Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 3 for the opposition.

FC Politehnica Timisoara vs FC Bacau match preview

FC Politehnica Timisoara hosts FC Bacau in Liga II on October 24, 2026. According to our model, FC Politehnica Timisoara has a 54% probability of winning, while a draw stands at 25% and FC Bacau at 21%. The most likely scoreline predicted is 2-1, occurring at a rate of 10%. The expected goals are 1.85 for FC Politehnica Timisoara and 1.08 for FC Bacau.

In terms of recent form, FC Politehnica Timisoara has recorded a sequence of W-D-W-W-D-W, indicating strong performance. Conversely, FC Bacau's recent results show L-D-W-W-D-D, suggesting some inconsistency. The model indicates a 56% likelihood of over 2.5 goals and a 57% chance for both teams to score, reflecting an expectation for a competitive match.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

FC Politehnica ↓ / FC Bacau → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 7% 1 9% 12% 7% 2 8% 10% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 93%
2+ goals 79%
3+ goals 54%
No goals 7%

FC Politehnica Timisoara and FC Bacau expected goals

FC Politehnica Timisoara 1.69
FC Bacau 1.17

Total expected goals: 2.86

FC Politehnica Timisoara and FC Bacau attack and defence ratings

FC Politehnica Timisoara

Attack 1.30 +30%
Defence 0.75 -25%

FC Bacau

Attack 1.31 +31%
Defence 0.83 -17%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Other Matchday 11 fixtures

Liga II

Before and after this match

FC Politehnica Timisoara vs FC Bacau markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 FC Politehnica Timisoara 48.3% 2.07 — —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 54.4% 1.84 — —
Both teams to score Yes 57.4% 1.74 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 74.6% 1.34 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 51.7% 1.93 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2FC Politehnica Timisoara48.3%
Draw26.3%
FC Bacau25.4%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.554.4%
Under 2.545.6%
Both teams to scoreYes57.4%
No42.6%
Double chance1X (home or draw)74.6%
12 (either side)73.7%
X2 (draw or away)51.7%
Handicap -1FC Politehnica Timisoara win26.5%
Push (exactly one goal)21.8%
Loss51.7%
Correct score (top 3)1-112.5%
2-19.6%
1-08.5%

FC Politehnica Timisoara vs FC Bacau stats

FC Politehnica Timisoara and FC Bacau recent form

newest first

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

FC Politehnica Timisoara and FC Bacau season so far

league record

FC Politehnica Timisoara record

  • They have won 6 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 2.1 goals per match.
  • They average 2.8 goals per game on the road against 1.6 at home.
  • They have kept 3 clean sheets in 9 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
  • 33% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

FC Bacau record

  • They have won 4 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 2.1 goals per match.
  • They average 2.8 goals per game at home against 1.2 on the road.
  • They have kept 4 clean sheets in 9 matches.
  • 33% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

FC Politehnica Timisoara vs FC Bacau head-to-head

No recent meetings on record

Our head-to-head history covers these clubs' top-flight matches from 2014 onwards — these two simply haven't crossed paths in that window (newly promoted sides and cross-division pairings are the usual reason). The prediction doesn't rely on H2H: it is built from each team's current expected-goals ratings.

FC Politehnica Timisoara vs FC Bacau odds

No bookmaker odds yet

Bookmakers usually price a fixture ~14 days before kickoff. We record snapshots twice a day, so the comparison table and price movement will appear here as soon as the market opens. Until then every probability on this page is model-only.

Prediction snapshot 1 FC Politehnica Timisoara Predicted score 2 – 1 Low Bet Now
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