Liga II · ·Matchday 11

Unirea Slobozia vs Concordia

Garuda Lions Prediction: Concordia

1 – 2 Predicted score · 9% model probability

May 1 Stadium, Slobozia

Unirea Slobozia 33%
Draw 26%
Concordia 41%

Confidence: Low  ·  model-only, no market odds

Chance Concordia wins
41%
most likely outcome
Chance of a goal
94%
at least one goal in the match
Both teams score
62%
goals at both ends
Most likely score with our pick
1 – 2
9% of simulated outcomes

Unirea Slobozia vs Concordia overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Unirea Slobozia vs Concordia

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityUnirea SloboziaDrawConcordia
Model33.2%26.1%40.7%
Market———
Final33.2%26.1%40.7%
Edge———

Confidence: Low

Why Concordia

  • Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.

Unirea Slobozia vs Concordia match preview

Unirea Slobozia faces Concordia in a Liga II match with a predicted win probability of 43% for Unirea Slobozia, while Concordia has a 31% chance of winning. The likelihood of a draw stands at 26%. Our model suggests a most probable scoreline of 2-1 in favor of Unirea Slobozia, with an expected goals tally of 1.71 for Unirea Slobozia and 1.43 for Concordia.

In terms of recent form, Unirea Slobozia has recorded two wins and four losses in their last six matches, while Concordia has managed two wins and four losses as well. The forecast indicates a 61% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 63% probability that both teams will score during the match. The confidence grade for this prediction is C.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Unirea Slobozi ↓ / Concordia → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 6% 6% 1 12% 9% 2 8% 6% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 94%
2+ goals 82%
3+ goals 59%
No goals 6%

Unirea Slobozia and Concordia expected goals

Unirea Slobozia 1.44
Concordia 1.61

Total expected goals: 3.06

Unirea Slobozia and Concordia attack and defence ratings

Unirea Slobozia

Attack 0.86 -14%
Defence 0.90 -10%

Concordia

Attack 1.51 +51%
Defence 1.06 +6%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Other Matchday 11 fixtures

Liga II

Before and after this match

Unirea Slobozia vs Concordia markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Concordia 40.7% 2.46 — —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 59.0% 1.70 — —
Both teams to score Yes 62.3% 1.61 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 73.9% 1.35 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 59.3% 1.69 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Unirea Slobozia33.2%
Draw26.1%
Concordia40.7%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.559.0%
Under 2.541.0%
Both teams to scoreYes62.3%
No37.7%
Double chance1X (home or draw)59.3%
12 (either side)73.9%
X2 (draw or away)66.8%
Handicap -1Concordia win21.2%
Push (exactly one goal)19.5%
Loss59.3%
Correct score (top 3)1-112.0%
1-28.8%
2-17.9%

Unirea Slobozia vs Concordia stats

Unirea Slobozia and Concordia recent form

newest first
Unirea Slobozia LWLLWL
Concordia WLLWLW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Unirea Slobozia and Concordia season so far

league record

Unirea Slobozia record

  • They have won 2 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
  • They average 2.2 goals per game at home against 0.6 on the road.
  • They have failed to score in 4 of 9 matches.
  • 55% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Concordia record

  • They have won 5 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 2.1 goals per match.
  • They average 3.0 goals per game on the road against 1.0 at home.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
  • 33% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Unirea Slobozia vs Concordia head-to-head

No recent meetings on record

Our head-to-head history covers these clubs' top-flight matches from 2014 onwards — these two simply haven't crossed paths in that window (newly promoted sides and cross-division pairings are the usual reason). The prediction doesn't rely on H2H: it is built from each team's current expected-goals ratings.

Unirea Slobozia vs Concordia odds

No bookmaker odds yet

Bookmakers usually price a fixture ~14 days before kickoff. We record snapshots twice a day, so the comparison table and price movement will appear here as soon as the market opens. Until then every probability on this page is model-only.

Prediction snapshot 2 Concordia Predicted score 1 – 2 Low Bet Now
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