Slatina
vs
Concordia
Garuda Lions Prediction: Slatina
2 – 1 Predicted score · 9% model probability
- WhyHigher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.85 vs 1.37.
- RiskNo edge: the market already prices this — Slatina is the favourite, not a value bet.
Slatina vs Concordia overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Slatina vs Concordia
| Probability | Slatina | Draw | Concordia |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 47.8% | 24.7% | 27.5% |
| Market | 43.8% | 28.3% | 27.9% |
| Final | 44.8% | 27.4% | 27.8% |
| Edge | +1.0% | -0.9% | -0.1% |
Why Slatina
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.85 vs 1.37.
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
Best available price on the pick: 2.10, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: -6.0% per unit staked (our 44.8% × 2.10 − 1).
Slatina vs Concordia match preview
Slatina faces Concordia in Liga II with a projected probability of 48% for a Slatina victory, while a draw stands at 25% and Concordia at 28%. The most likely scoreline predicted by our model is 2-1 in favor of Slatina, with a 9% likelihood. The model also indicates a 62% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 64% chance for both teams to score. Expected goals are calculated at 1.85 for Slatina and 1.37 for Concordia.
In terms of recent form, Slatina has recorded a sequence of L-W-L-W-W-W, while Concordia's latest results show D-W-L-L-W-L. In their last head-to-head encounter, Slatina emerged victorious with 1 win against Concordia's 0. The confidence grade for this matchup is C, suggesting a moderate level of certainty in the predictions.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Slatina and Concordia expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.22
Slatina and Concordia attack and defence ratings
Slatina
Concordia
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
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Before and after this match
Slatina vs Concordia markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Slatina | 44.8% | 2.23 | +1.0% | 2.10 |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 62.4% | 1.60 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 63.9% | 1.57 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 72.6% | 1.38 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 52.2% | 1.91 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Slatina | 44.8% |
| Draw | 27.4% | |
| Concordia | 27.8% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 62.4% |
| Under 2.5 | 37.6% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 63.9% |
| No | 36.1% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 72.2% |
| 12 (either side) | 72.6% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 55.2% | |
| Handicap -1 | Slatina win | 27.1% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20.6% | |
| Loss | 52.2% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 11.1% |
| 2-1 | 9.4% | |
| 1-2 | 6.9% |
Slatina vs Concordia stats
Slatina and Concordia recent form
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Slatina and Concordia season so far
Slatina record
- They have won 8 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 1.9 goals per match.
- They average 2.6 goals per game at home against 1.2 on the road.
- They have kept 5 clean sheets in 10 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
Concordia record
- They have won 6 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 2.4 goals per match.
- They average 3.0 goals per game on the road against 1.8 at home.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- 33% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Slatina vs Concordia head-to-head
Last 1 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-09-20 | Concordia | Slatina | Liga II | 1-2 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Slatina vs Concordia odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 43.8%, draw 28.3%, away 27.9%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.10 | 3.25 | 3.29 |