Metaloglobus
vs
CSM Ramnicu Valcea
Garuda Lions Prediction: Metaloglobus
1 – 0 Predicted score · 12% model probability
- WhyHigher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.43 vs 0.96.
- RiskNo edge: the market already prices this — Metaloglobus is the favourite, not a value bet.
Metaloglobus vs CSM Ramnicu Valcea overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Metaloglobus vs CSM Ramnicu Valcea
| Probability | Metaloglobus | Draw | CSM Ramnicu Valcea |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 46.8% | 29.2% | 24.0% |
| Market | 44.5% | 27.5% | 28.0% |
| Final | 45.0% | 28.0% | 27.0% |
| Edge | +0.6% | +0.4% | -1.0% |
Why Metaloglobus
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.43 vs 0.96.
Best available price on the pick: 2.15, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: -3.1% per unit staked (our 45.0% × 2.15 − 1).
Metaloglobus vs CSM Ramnicu Valcea match preview
Metaloglobus faces CSM Ramnicu Valcea in a Liga II matchup on October 26, 2026. According to our model, Metaloglobus has a 47% chance of winning, while CSM Ramnicu Valcea stands at 24%, with a 29% probability for a draw. The expected goals for Metaloglobus is 1.43, compared to 0.96 for CSM Ramnicu Valcea, indicating a stronger attacking performance anticipated from the home side.
Recent form shows Metaloglobus with mixed results, recording one win in their last six matches (D-L-W-D-L-L), while CSM Ramnicu Valcea has managed two wins in their last six (L-L-W-L-L-W). The most likely scoreline predicted is 1-0 in favor of Metaloglobus, with a 12% probability. Additionally, there is a 43% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 48% probability that both teams will score.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Metaloglobus and CSM Ramnicu Valcea expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.39
Metaloglobus and CSM Ramnicu Valcea attack and defence ratings
Metaloglobus
CSM Ramnicu Valcea
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 11 fixtures
- Metalul Buzău v Ştefăneşti — match page
- Unirea Slobozia vs Concordia — team news & stats
- CS Dinamo București v Popești-Leordeni — match page
- Gloria Bistriţa vs Dumbrăviţa
- FC Politehnica Timisoara vs FC Bacau — team news & stats
- Chindia Targoviste vs CSM Satu Mare
- CS Afumati vs CSA Steaua Bucureşti
- Viitorul Şelimbăr vs ASA Targu Mures
Before and after this match
Metaloglobus vs CSM Ramnicu Valcea markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Metaloglobus | 45.0% | 2.22 | +0.6% | 2.15 |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 57.1% | 1.75 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 51.7% | 1.93 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 73.0% | 1.37 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 53.2% | 1.88 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Metaloglobus | 45.0% |
| Draw | 28.0% | |
| CSM Ramnicu Valcea | 27.0% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 42.9% |
| Under 2.5 | 57.1% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 48.3% |
| No | 51.7% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 73.0% |
| 12 (either side) | 72.0% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 55.0% | |
| Handicap -1 | Metaloglobus win | 23.6% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 23.2% | |
| Loss | 53.2% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 13.8% |
| 1-0 | 11.8% | |
| 0-0 | 10.4% |
Metaloglobus vs CSM Ramnicu Valcea stats
Metaloglobus and CSM Ramnicu Valcea recent form
| Metaloglobus |
DLWDLL |
| CSM Ramnicu Valcea |
LLWLLW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Metaloglobus and CSM Ramnicu Valcea season so far
Metaloglobus record
- They have won 3 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 10 matches.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 10 matches.
- 43% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
CSM Ramnicu Valcea record
- They have won 3 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 10 matches.
- 38% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Metaloglobus vs CSM Ramnicu Valcea head-to-head
No recent meetings on record
Metaloglobus vs CSM Ramnicu Valcea odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 44.5%, draw 27.5%, away 28.0%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.01 | 3.28 | 3.26 |
| BetVictor | 2.05 | 3.40 | 3.20 |
| Betano | 2.15 | 3.25 | 3.25 |
| Betfair | 2.00 | 3.40 | 3.10 |
| Dafabet | 2.14 | 3.25 | 3.30 |
| Marathonbet | 1.99 | 3.28 | 3.18 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
11 snapshots recorded, from .