Chindia Targoviste
vs
Popești-Leordeni
Garuda Lions Prediction: Chindia Targoviste
2 – 1 Predicted score · 8% model probability
- WhyHigher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.43 vs 1.77.
- RiskNo bookmaker prices recorded yet, so this pick has not been checked against the market.
Chindia Targoviste vs Popești-Leordeni overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Chindia Targoviste vs Popești-Leordeni
| Probability | Chindia Targoviste | Draw | Popești-Leordeni |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 52.0% | 20.5% | 27.5% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 52.0% | 20.5% | 27.5% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Chindia Targoviste
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.43 vs 1.77.
Chindia Targoviste vs Popești-Leordeni match preview
Chindia Targoviste holds a 52% probability of winning against Popești-Leordeni in their upcoming Liga II match. The model predicts a likely scoreline of 2-1, with an 8% chance of occurring. Chindia's expected goals stand at 2.43, while Popești-Leordeni's is at 1.77. The forecast indicates a high likelihood of an entertaining match, with 79% probability for over 2.5 goals and 76% for both teams to score.
In terms of recent form, Chindia Targoviste has recorded four consecutive wins before a loss, while Popești-Leordeni has shown resilience with three wins in their last five matches. The confidence grade for this prediction is C, suggesting a moderate level of certainty in the model's assessment.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Chindia Targoviste and Popești-Leordeni expected goals
Total expected goals: 4.21
Chindia Targoviste and Popești-Leordeni attack and defence ratings
Chindia Targoviste
Popești-Leordeni
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Before and after this match
Chindia Targoviste vs Popești-Leordeni markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Chindia Targoviste | 52.0% | 1.92 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 79.0% | 1.27 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 76.4% | 1.31 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 79.5% | 1.26 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 48.0% | 2.08 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Chindia Targoviste | 52.0% |
| Draw | 20.5% | |
| Popești-Leordeni | 27.5% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 79.0% |
| Under 2.5 | 21.0% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 76.4% |
| No | 23.6% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 72.5% |
| 12 (either side) | 79.5% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 48.0% | |
| Handicap -1 | Chindia Targoviste win | 33.0% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 19.0% | |
| Loss | 48.0% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 2-1 | 7.8% |
| 1-1 | 7.1% | |
| 2-2 | 6.9% |
Chindia Targoviste vs Popești-Leordeni stats
Chindia Targoviste and Popești-Leordeni recent form
| Chindia Targoviste |
WWWWWL |
| Popești-Leordeni |
WWWLWW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Chindia Targoviste and Popești-Leordeni season so far
Chindia Targoviste record
- They have won 8 of their 11 league games this season, scoring 2.5 goals per match.
- They average 2.8 goals per game at home against 2.2 on the road.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 11 matches.
- They have converted 2 of 3 penalties (67%).
- 42% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Popești-Leordeni record
- They have won 7 of their 11 league games this season, scoring 2.4 goals per match.
- They average 3.0 goals per game at home against 1.8 on the road.
- 38% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.