Gloria Bistriţa
vs
Cetatea Suceava
3 – 1 Full time
Gloria Bistriţa vs Cetatea Suceava overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Gloria Bistriţa vs Cetatea Suceava
| Probability | Gloria Bistriţa | Draw | Cetatea Suceava |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 28.2% | 27.6% | 44.2% |
| Market | 37.0% | 28.5% | 34.5% |
| Final | 34.8% | 28.3% | 36.9% |
| Edge | -2.2% | -0.2% | +2.4% |
Why Cetatea Suceava
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.54 vs 1.19.
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
- The market prices Cetatea Suceava below our published probability: +2.4 percentage points of edge.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Gloria Bistriţa and Cetatea Suceava expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.72
Gloria Bistriţa and Cetatea Suceava attack and defence ratings
Gloria Bistriţa
Cetatea Suceava
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Gloria Bistriţa vs Cetatea Suceava: result vs prediction
Gloria Bistriţa 3 – 1 Cetatea Suceava
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 13 fixtures
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- CS Afumati vs FC Bacau — team news & stats
- Unirea Slobozia v CSM Satu Mare — match page
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- Bihor Oradea v Slatina — match page
- FC Politehnica Timisoara v CSM Reşiţa — match page
Before and after this match
Gloria Bistriţa vs Cetatea Suceava markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Cetatea Suceava | 36.9% | 2.71 | +2.4% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 51.2% | 1.95 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 55.7% | 1.79 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 71.7% | 1.39 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 55.8% | 1.79 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Gloria Bistriţa | 34.8% |
| Draw | 28.3% | |
| Cetatea Suceava | 36.9% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 51.2% |
| Under 2.5 | 48.8% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 55.7% |
| No | 44.3% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 63.1% |
| 12 (either side) | 71.7% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 65.2% | |
| Handicap -1 | Cetatea Suceava win | 22.8% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21.4% | |
| Loss | 55.8% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 13.2% |
| 1-2 | 9.2% | |
| 0-1 | 8.9% |
Gloria Bistriţa vs Cetatea Suceava stats
Gloria Bistriţa and Cetatea Suceava recent form
| Gloria Bistriţa |
LWLWLL |
| Cetatea Suceava |
DWWWDW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Gloria Bistriţa and Cetatea Suceava going into this match
Gloria Bistriţa record
- They have won 6 of their 12 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
- They average 1.5 goals per game at home against 1.0 on the road.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 12 matches.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 12 matches.
- 42% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Cetatea Suceava record
- They have won 6 of their 12 league games this season, scoring 2.0 goals per match.
- They have kept 5 clean sheets in 12 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- 30% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Gloria Bistriţa vs Cetatea Suceava head-to-head
No recent meetings on record
Gloria Bistriţa vs Cetatea Suceava odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 37.0%, draw 28.5%, away 34.5%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.39 | 3.10 | 2.62 |
| Bet365 | 2.30 | 3.40 | 2.55 |
| BetVictor | 2.45 | 3.30 | 2.63 |
| Betano | 2.57 | 3.15 | 2.67 |
| Dafabet | 2.55 | 3.20 | 2.65 |
| Marathonbet | 2.39 | 3.10 | 2.62 |
| Pinnacle | 2.44 | 3.22 | 2.65 |
| William Hill | 2.45 | 3.10 | 2.62 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
9 snapshots recorded, from .