Liga II · ·Matchday 11

Viitorul Şelimbăr vs ASA Targu Mures

Garuda Lions Prediction: ASA Targu Mures

1 – 2 Predicted score · 9% model probability

Stadionul Municipal, Sibiu

Viitorul Şelimbăr 27%
Draw 26%
ASA Targu Mures 46%

Confidence: Low  ·  model-only, no market odds

Chance ASA Targu Mures wins
46%
most likely outcome
Chance of a goal
94%
at least one goal in the match
Both teams score
59%
goals at both ends
Most likely score with our pick
1 – 2
9% of simulated outcomes

Viitorul Şelimbăr vs ASA Targu Mures overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Viitorul Şelimbăr vs ASA Targu Mures

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityViitorul ŞelimbărDrawASA Targu Mures
Model27.5%26.2%46.3%
Market———
Final27.5%26.2%46.3%
Edge———

Confidence: Low

Why ASA Targu Mures

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.68 vs 1.25.
  • Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.

Viitorul Şelimbăr vs ASA Targu Mures match preview

Viitorul Şelimbăr faces ASA Targu Mures in a Liga II matchup where the probabilities indicate a competitive encounter. ASA Targu Mures holds a 46% chance of winning, while Viitorul Şelimbăr has a 27% probability, and a draw stands at 26%. The most likely scoreline predicted is 1-2, occurring at a 9% likelihood. Both teams are expected to score, with a 59% probability for both teams finding the net, and the model forecasts over 2.5 goals at 56%.

Recent form shows Viitorul Şelimbăr struggling with four consecutive losses followed by a draw and a win, while ASA Targu Mures has a mixed record with two wins, a draw, and two losses in their last five matches. Expected goals suggest Viitorul Şelimbăr will score 1.25, compared to ASA Targu Mures' 1.68, indicating a slight advantage for the visitors.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Viitorul Şelim ↓ / ASA Targu Mure → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 6% 8% 8% 1 12% 9% 2 7% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 94%
2+ goals 80%
3+ goals 56%
No goals 6%

Viitorul Şelimbăr and ASA Targu Mures expected goals

Viitorul Şelimbăr 1.25
ASA Targu Mures 1.68

Total expected goals: 2.94

Viitorul Şelimbăr and ASA Targu Mures attack and defence ratings

Viitorul Şelimbăr

Attack 0.71 -29%
Defence 1.30 +30%

ASA Targu Mures

Attack 1.09 +9%
Defence 1.12 +12%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Other Matchday 11 fixtures

Liga II

Before and after this match

Viitorul Şelimbăr vs ASA Targu Mures markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 ASA Targu Mures 46.3% 2.16 — —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 56.2% 1.78 — —
Both teams to score Yes 59.3% 1.69 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 73.8% 1.36 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 53.7% 1.86 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Viitorul Şelimbăr27.5%
Draw26.2%
ASA Targu Mures46.3%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.556.2%
Under 2.543.8%
Both teams to scoreYes59.3%
No40.7%
Double chance1X (home or draw)53.7%
12 (either side)73.8%
X2 (draw or away)72.5%
Handicap -1ASA Targu Mures win25.1%
Push (exactly one goal)21.2%
Loss53.7%
Correct score (top 3)1-112.3%
1-29.4%
0-17.8%

Viitorul Şelimbăr vs ASA Targu Mures stats

Viitorul Şelimbăr and ASA Targu Mures recent form

newest first

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Viitorul Şelimbăr and ASA Targu Mures season so far

league record

Viitorul Şelimbăr record

  • They have won 1 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 0.8 goals per match.
  • 40% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

ASA Targu Mures record

  • They have won 3 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
  • They average 2.0 goals per game at home against 0.8 on the road.
  • They have failed to score in 3 of 9 matches.
  • 33% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Viitorul Şelimbăr vs ASA Targu Mures head-to-head

Last 1 meetings

0Viitorul Şelimbăr wins 0Draws 1ASA Targu Mures wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2025-08-09Viitorul ŞelimbărASA Targu MuresLiga II1-3

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Viitorul Şelimbăr vs ASA Targu Mures odds

No bookmaker odds yet

Bookmakers usually price a fixture ~14 days before kickoff. We record snapshots twice a day, so the comparison table and price movement will appear here as soon as the market opens. Until then every probability on this page is model-only.

Prediction snapshot 2 ASA Targu Mures Predicted score 1 – 2 Low Bet Now
v Bet Now