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Liga II · Full time ·Matchday 7

CSM Reşiţa vs FC Bacau

0 – 1 Full time

46′L. SulaimonM. Zavnik
46′S. VisicS. Savija
54′A. Coaja
59′C. Barbut
70′A. PavelR. Ciobanu
70′D. LuncasuP. Petre
72′M. Juric
77′G. CirsteanR. Moise
77′E. LenghelA. Dima
77′C. ChiraV. Chera
77′E. BlojF. Tchassem
82′P. Mitrica
88′P. MitricaC. Oasenegre

Mircea Chivu Stadium

CSM Reşiţa 44%
Draw 27%
FC Bacau 29%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

CSM Reşiţa vs FC Bacau overview

Garuda Lions analysis: CSM Reşiţa vs FC Bacau

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityCSM ReşiţaDrawFC Bacau
Model33.5%25.4%41.1%
Market47.6%27.3%25.1%
Final44.1%26.8%29.1%
Edge-14.2%-1.8%+16.0%

Confidence: Low

Why CSM Reşiţa

  • Better recent form: 5 wins in the last 6 vs 3 for the opposition.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

CSM Reşiţa ↓ / FC Bacau → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 6% 6% 1 11% 9% 2 8% 7% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 95%
2+ goals 84%
3+ goals 62%
No goals 5%

CSM Reşiţa and FC Bacau expected goals

CSM Reşiţa 1.51
FC Bacau 1.69

Total expected goals: 3.19

CSM Reşiţa and FC Bacau attack and defence ratings

CSM Reşiţa

Attack 1.01 +1%
Defence 1.02 +2%

FC Bacau

Attack 1.41 +41%
Defence 0.94 -6%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

CSM Reşiţa vs FC Bacau: result vs prediction

CSM Reşiţa 0 – 1 FC Bacau

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Matchday 7 fixtures

Liga II

Before and after this match

CSM Reşiţa vs FC Bacau markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 CSM Reşiţa 44.1% 2.27 -14.2% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 61.8% 1.62 — —
Both teams to score Yes 64.5% 1.55 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 73.2% 1.37 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 66.5% 1.50 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2CSM Reşiţa44.1%
Draw26.8%
FC Bacau29.1%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.561.8%
Under 2.538.2%
Both teams to scoreYes64.5%
No35.5%
Double chance1X (home or draw)70.9%
12 (either side)73.2%
X2 (draw or away)55.9%
Handicap -1CSM Reşiţa win16.3%
Push (exactly one goal)17.1%
Loss66.5%
Correct score (top 3)1-111.5%
1-28.8%
2-17.9%

CSM Reşiţa vs FC Bacau stats

CSM Reşiţa and FC Bacau recent form

newest first
CSM Reşiţa WWLWWW
FC Bacau WDDWLW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

CSM Reşiţa and FC Bacau going into this match

league record before kick-off

CSM Reşiţa record

  • They have won 5 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.8 goals per match.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.

FC Bacau record

  • They have won 3 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 2.7 goals per match.
  • They have kept 3 clean sheets in 6 matches.
  • 31% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

CSM Reşiţa vs FC Bacau head-to-head

Last 2 meetings

1CSM Reşiţa wins 1Draws 0FC Bacau wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-04-04CSM ReşiţaFC BacauLiga II1-0
2025-09-13FC BacauCSM ReşiţaLiga II0-0

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

CSM Reşiţa vs FC Bacau odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 47.6%, draw 27.3%, away 25.1%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 1.83 3.32 3.82
Bet365 1.90 3.40 3.40
BetVictor 1.91 3.40 3.60
Betano 2.02 3.35 3.50
Betfair 1.90 3.40 3.60
Marathonbet 1.81 3.32 3.72
Pinnacle 1.89 3.32 3.63
SBO 1.92 2.98 3.09
William Hill 1.95 3.10 3.60

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 1.90 ▲ +0.18
X 3.32 ▼ -0.08
2 3.60 ▼ -0.84

15 snapshots recorded, from .