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Liga II · Full time ·Matchday 7

CS Afumati vs ASA Targu Mures

2 – 2 Full time

20′M. Samake
28′ASA Targu Mures
32′A. Enache
37′ASA Targu Mures
40′ASA Targu Mures
49′V. Ghinet
59′A. Enache
74′D. Faragau
76′ASA Targu Mures
85′V. Gallo

CNF Buftea

CS Afumati 41%
Draw 27%
ASA Targu Mures 31%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

CS Afumati vs ASA Targu Mures overview

Garuda Lions analysis: CS Afumati vs ASA Targu Mures

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityCS AfumatiDrawASA Targu Mures
Model40.1%28.0%31.9%
Market41.8%26.9%31.2%
Final41.4%27.2%31.4%
Edge-1.7%+1.1%+0.6%

Confidence: Low

Why CS Afumati

  • Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

CS Afumati ↓ / ASA Targu Mure → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 8% 7% 1 8% 13% 8% 2 7% 9% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 92%
2+ goals 77%
3+ goals 51%
No goals 8%

CS Afumati and ASA Targu Mures expected goals

CS Afumati 1.45
ASA Targu Mures 1.27

Total expected goals: 2.72

CS Afumati and ASA Targu Mures attack and defence ratings

CS Afumati

Attack 0.93 -7%
Defence 1.05 +5%

ASA Targu Mures

Attack 1.03 +3%
Defence 1.00 +0%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

CS Afumati vs ASA Targu Mures: result vs prediction

CS Afumati 2 – 2 ASA Targu Mures

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Matchday 7 fixtures

Liga II

Before and after this match

CS Afumati vs ASA Targu Mures markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 CS Afumati 41.4% 2.41 -1.7% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 51.2% 1.95 — —
Both teams to score Yes 56.3% 1.78 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 72.8% 1.37 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 59.9% 1.67 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2CS Afumati41.4%
Draw27.2%
ASA Targu Mures31.4%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.551.2%
Under 2.548.8%
Both teams to scoreYes56.3%
No43.7%
Double chance1X (home or draw)68.6%
12 (either side)72.8%
X2 (draw or away)58.6%
Handicap -1CS Afumati win19.9%
Push (exactly one goal)20.3%
Loss59.9%
Correct score (top 3)1-113.3%
2-18.8%
1-08.3%

CS Afumati vs ASA Targu Mures stats

CS Afumati and ASA Targu Mures recent form

newest first
CS Afumati WWDLLW
ASA Targu Mures WLWDLL

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

CS Afumati and ASA Targu Mures going into this match

league record before kick-off

CS Afumati record

  • They have won 3 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
  • 42% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

ASA Targu Mures record

  • They have won 2 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
  • They average 1.3 goals per game at home against 0.7 on the road.

CS Afumati vs ASA Targu Mures head-to-head

Last 3 meetings

3CS Afumati wins 0Draws 0ASA Targu Mures wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2025-11-01CS AfumatiASA Targu MuresLiga II2-1
2018-05-05CS AfumatiASA Targu MuresLiga II3-0
2017-10-28ASA Targu MuresCS AfumatiLiga II0-1

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

CS Afumati vs ASA Targu Mures odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 41.8%, draw 26.9%, away 31.2%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 2.17 3.34 2.93
Bet365 2.20 3.30 2.80
BetVictor 2.15 3.50 2.88
Marathonbet 2.15 3.34 2.88
Pinnacle 2.15 3.35 2.93

Odds movement

Only one odds snapshot recorded so far — movement needs at least two.