Curaçao
vs
Panama
Garuda Lions Prediction: Curaçao
1 – 0 Predicted score · 10% model probability
- WhyBetter recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
- RiskNo bookmaker prices recorded yet, so this pick has not been checked against the market.
Curaçao vs Panama overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Curaçao vs Panama
| Probability | Curaçao | Draw | Panama |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 38.8% | 29.5% | 31.7% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 38.8% | 29.5% | 31.7% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Curaçao
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
Curaçao vs Panama match preview
Curaçao faces Panama in the CONCACAF Nations League with kickoff set for November 9, 2026. According to our model, Curaçao has a 39% chance of winning, while Panama sits at 32%, and a draw is projected at 29%. The expected goals for Curaçao are 1.32 compared to Panama's 1.17, indicating a closely matched encounter. The most likely scoreline is 1-0 in favor of Curaçao, with a 10% probability.
In terms of recent form, Curaçao has recorded a draw, followed by three wins, a loss, and another draw, while Panama's last six matches show three losses, a win, and two draws. Historically, in their last encounter, Panama secured a victory against Curaçao, which adds an interesting dynamic to this matchup. The likelihood of both teams scoring stands at 52%, suggesting a competitive clash.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Curaçao and Panama expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.50
Curaçao and Panama attack and defence ratings
Curaçao
Panama
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Quarter-finals fixtures
Before and after this match
Curaçao vs Panama markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Curaçao | 38.8% | 2.58 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 54.5% | 1.84 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 52.0% | 1.92 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 70.5% | 1.42 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 61.2% | 1.63 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Curaçao | 38.8% |
| Draw | 29.5% | |
| Panama | 31.7% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 45.5% |
| Under 2.5 | 54.5% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 52.0% |
| No | 48.0% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 68.3% |
| 12 (either side) | 70.5% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 61.2% | |
| Handicap -1 | Curaçao win | 18.2% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20.6% | |
| Loss | 61.2% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 14.1% |
| 1-0 | 9.6% | |
| 0-0 | 9.5% |
Curaçao vs Panama stats
Curaçao vs Panama head-to-head
Last 1 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023-10-13 | Curaçao | Panama | CONCACAF Nations League | 1-2 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.