Dominica
vs
Cayman Islands
Garuda Lions Prediction: Dominica
1 – 0 Predicted score · 11% model probability
- WhyBetter recent form: 1 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
- RiskNo bookmaker prices recorded yet, so this pick has not been checked against the market.
Dominica vs Cayman Islands overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Dominica vs Cayman Islands
| Probability | Dominica | Draw | Cayman Islands |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 41.3% | 30.3% | 28.4% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 41.3% | 30.3% | 28.4% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Dominica
- Better recent form: 1 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
Dominica vs Cayman Islands match preview
In the upcoming CONCACAF Nations League match, Dominica faces the Cayman Islands with a kickoff scheduled for November 11, 2026. According to our model, Dominica has a 41% chance of winning, while the draw stands at 30% and the Cayman Islands at 28%. The expected goals for Dominica is 1.31 compared to 1.05 for the Cayman Islands, suggesting a closely contested match. The most likely scoreline predicted is 1-0 in favor of Dominica, occurring with an 11% probability.
Both teams have struggled in recent matches, with Dominica recording three losses, one draw, and one win in their last five games, while the Cayman Islands have lost four and drawn one in the same span. Historically, their last encounter ended in a draw, with neither team claiming a victory. The model indicates a 42% likelihood of over 2.5 goals and a 49% chance that both teams will score.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Dominica and Cayman Islands expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.36
Dominica and Cayman Islands attack and defence ratings
Dominica
Cayman Islands
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other League B - 1 fixtures
Before and after this match
Dominica vs Cayman Islands markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Dominica | 41.3% | 2.42 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 58.1% | 1.72 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 51.4% | 1.95 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 71.6% | 1.40 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 58.7% | 1.70 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Dominica | 41.3% |
| Draw | 30.3% | |
| Cayman Islands | 28.4% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 41.9% |
| Under 2.5 | 58.1% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 48.6% |
| No | 51.4% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 71.6% |
| 12 (either side) | 69.7% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 58.7% | |
| Handicap -1 | Dominica win | 19.5% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21.8% | |
| Loss | 58.7% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 14.3% |
| 1-0 | 11.1% | |
| 0-0 | 10.8% |
Dominica vs Cayman Islands stats
Dominica and Cayman Islands recent form
| Dominica |
LLLDLW |
| Cayman Islands |
LLLDLL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Dominica vs Cayman Islands head-to-head
Last 1 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-25 | Cayman Islands | Dominica | CONCACAF Nations League | 0-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.