CONCACAF Nations League Β· Β·League B - 1

Puerto Rico vs Dominica

Garuda Lions Prediction: Puerto Rico

3 – 0 Predicted score Β· 11% model probability

  • WhyHigher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 3.42 vs 0.68.
  • RiskNo bookmaker prices recorded yet, so this pick has not been checked against the market.
Puerto Rico 87%
Draw 9%
Dominica 4%

Confidence: Low  Β·  model-only, no market odds

Chance Puerto Rico wins
87%
most likely outcome
Chance of a goal
98%
at least one goal in the match
Both teams score
48%
goals at both ends
Most likely score with our pick
3 – 0
11% of simulated outcomes

Puerto Rico vs Dominica overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Puerto Rico vs Dominica

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityPuerto RicoDrawDominica
Model87.1%9.2%3.7%
Marketβ€”β€”β€”
Final87.1%9.2%3.7%
Edgeβ€”β€”β€”

Confidence: Low

Why Puerto Rico

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 3.42 vs 0.68.
  • Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.

Puerto Rico vs Dominica match preview

Puerto Rico is heavily favored in their upcoming match against Dominica, with a probability of 87% for a win, while Dominica stands at just 4%. The most likely scoreline predicted by the model is 3-0, occurring with an 11% probability. The expected goals for Puerto Rico are significantly higher at 3.42 compared to Dominica's 0.68, indicating a strong offensive performance anticipated from the home side.

In terms of recent form, Puerto Rico has recorded three wins and two losses in their last six matches, while Dominica has struggled with one win, one draw, and four losses in the same period. The model suggests a high likelihood of over 2.5 goals at 78%, with both teams expected to score at a lower probability of 48%. The last head-to-head encounter saw Puerto Rico secure a victory.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Puerto Rico ↓ / Dominica β†’ 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 1 2 3 4+ 22% 15%

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 98%
2+ goals 92%
3+ goals 78%
No goals 2%

Puerto Rico and Dominica expected goals

Puerto Rico 3.42
Dominica 0.68

Total expected goals: 4.10

Puerto Rico and Dominica attack and defence ratings

Puerto Rico

Attack 1.11 +11%
Defence 0.66 -34%

Dominica

Attack 0.65 -35%
Defence 1.81 +81%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Other League B - 1 fixtures

CONCACAF Nations League

Before and after this match

Puerto Rico vs Dominica markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Puerto Rico 87.1% 1.15 β€” β€”
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 77.7% 1.29 β€” β€”
Both teams to score No 51.7% 1.94 β€” β€”
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 96.3% 1.04 β€” β€”
Handicap -1 Puerto Rico win 72.1% 1.39 β€” β€”

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Puerto Rico87.1%
Draw9.2%
Dominica3.7%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.577.7%
Under 2.522.3%
Both teams to scoreYes48.3%
No51.7%
Double chance1X (home or draw)96.3%
12 (either side)90.8%
X2 (draw or away)12.9%
Handicap -1Puerto Rico win72.1%
Push (exactly one goal)15.0%
Loss12.9%
Correct score (top 3)3-011.0%
2-09.7%
4-09.4%

Puerto Rico vs Dominica stats

Puerto Rico and Dominica recent form

newest first
Puerto Rico WWWLWL
Dominica LLLDLW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Puerto Rico vs Dominica head-to-head

Last 1 meetings

1Puerto Rico wins 0Draws 0Dominica wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-09-28DominicaPuerto RicoCONCACAF Nations League0-2

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Puerto Rico vs Dominica odds

No bookmaker odds yet

Bookmakers usually price a fixture ~14 days before kickoff. We record snapshots twice a day, so the comparison table and price movement will appear here as soon as the market opens. Until then every probability on this page is model-only.

Prediction snapshot 1 Puerto Rico Predicted score 3 – 0 Low Bet Now
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