Sint Maarten
vs
French Guyana
Garuda Lions Prediction: French Guyana
0 – 2 Predicted score · 12% model probability
- WhyHigher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.07 vs 0.82.
- RiskNo bookmaker prices recorded yet, so this pick has not been checked against the market.
Sint Maarten vs French Guyana overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Sint Maarten vs French Guyana
| Probability | Sint Maarten | Draw | French Guyana |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 13.0% | 21.8% | 65.3% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 13.0% | 21.8% | 65.3% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why French Guyana
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.07 vs 0.82.
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Sint Maarten vs French Guyana match preview
Sint Maarten faces French Guyana in the CONCACAF Nations League with a kickoff scheduled for November 11, 2026. According to our model, Sint Maarten has a 13% probability of winning, while French Guyana stands at 65%. The most likely scoreline is 0-2, occurring at a rate of 12%. Sint Maarten's recent form shows four losses followed by one win and another loss, while French Guyana has three wins, one loss, and one draw in their last five matches.
The expected goals for Sint Maarten are 0.82, compared to 2.07 for French Guyana, suggesting a significant disparity in attacking potential. Additionally, there is a 55% chance of over 2.5 goals, and both teams are given a 50% likelihood of scoring. The confidence grade for this match is C, indicating moderate uncertainty in the predictions.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Sint Maarten and French Guyana expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.89
Sint Maarten and French Guyana attack and defence ratings
Sint Maarten
French Guyana
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other League B - 4 fixtures
- Belize vs St. Vincent / Grenadines
- Sint Maarten v St. Vincent / Grenadines — match page
- Belize vs French Guyana — team news & stats
- St. Vincent / Grenadines vs Sint Maarten — team news & stats
- French Guyana v Belize — match page
- Belize vs Sint Maarten — team news & stats
- St. Vincent / Grenadines vs Belize — team news & stats
- French Guyana vs St. Vincent / Grenadines
Before and after this match
Sint Maarten vs French Guyana markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | French Guyana | 65.3% | 1.53 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 55.2% | 1.81 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 50.0% | 2.00 | — | — |
| Double chance | X2 (draw or away) | 87.0% | 1.15 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | French Guyana win | 41.8% | 2.39 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Sint Maarten | 13.0% |
| Draw | 21.8% | |
| French Guyana | 65.3% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 55.2% |
| Under 2.5 | 44.8% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 50.0% |
| No | 50.0% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 34.7% |
| 12 (either side) | 78.2% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 87.0% | |
| Handicap -1 | French Guyana win | 41.8% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 23.5% | |
| Loss | 34.7% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 0-2 | 11.9% |
| 0-1 | 10.5% | |
| 1-1 | 10.4% |
Sint Maarten vs French Guyana stats
Sint Maarten and French Guyana recent form
| Sint Maarten |
LLLLWL |
| French Guyana |
WWWLDL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Sint Maarten vs French Guyana head-to-head
Last 1 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-29 | French Guyana | Sint Maarten | CONCACAF Nations League | 1-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.