Belize
vs
Sint Maarten
Garuda Lions Prediction: Belize
1 – 0 Predicted score · 14% model probability
- WhyHigher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.52 vs 0.81.
- RiskNo bookmaker prices recorded yet, so this pick has not been checked against the market.
Belize vs Sint Maarten overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Belize vs Sint Maarten
| Probability | Belize | Draw | Sint Maarten |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 53.1% | 28.3% | 18.6% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 53.1% | 28.3% | 18.6% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Belize
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.52 vs 0.81.
Belize vs Sint Maarten match preview
In the upcoming CONCACAF Nations League match, Belize faces Sint Maarten with a kickoff set for November 11, 2026. According to our model, Belize holds a 53% probability of winning, while a draw stands at 28% and Sint Maarten at 19%. The most likely scoreline is predicted to be 1-0 in favor of Belize, with an expected goals tally of 1.52 for Belize and 0.81 for Sint Maarten.
Both teams have struggled recently, with Belize recording three losses followed by a win and two more losses, while Sint Maarten's form includes four losses and one win in their last six matches. The likelihood of over 2.5 goals is estimated at 41%, and both teams scoring is projected at 44%. The head-to-head record shows Belize winning their last encounter.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Belize and Sint Maarten expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.33
Belize and Sint Maarten attack and defence ratings
Belize
Sint Maarten
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other League B - 4 fixtures
- Belize vs St. Vincent / Grenadines
- Sint Maarten v St. Vincent / Grenadines — match page
- Belize vs French Guyana — team news & stats
- St. Vincent / Grenadines vs Sint Maarten — team news & stats
- French Guyana v Belize — match page
- St. Vincent / Grenadines vs Belize — team news & stats
- French Guyana vs St. Vincent / Grenadines
- Sint Maarten v French Guyana — match page
Before and after this match
Belize vs Sint Maarten markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Belize | 53.1% | 1.88 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 58.8% | 1.70 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 55.5% | 1.80 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 81.4% | 1.23 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 46.9% | 2.13 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Belize | 53.1% |
| Draw | 28.3% | |
| Sint Maarten | 18.6% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 41.2% |
| Under 2.5 | 58.8% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 44.5% |
| No | 55.5% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 81.4% |
| 12 (either side) | 71.7% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 46.9% | |
| Handicap -1 | Belize win | 28.3% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 24.8% | |
| Loss | 46.9% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-0 | 13.6% |
| 1-1 | 13.2% | |
| 2-0 | 11.3% |
Belize vs Sint Maarten stats
Belize and Sint Maarten recent form
| Belize |
LLLWLL |
| Sint Maarten |
LLLLWL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Belize vs Sint Maarten head-to-head
Last 1 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-27 | Sint Maarten | Belize | CONCACAF Nations League | 0-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.