St. Vincent / Grenadines
vs
Belize
Garuda Lions Prediction: St. Vincent / Grenadines
2 – 0 Predicted score · 13% model probability
- WhyHigher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.94 vs 0.72.
- RiskNo bookmaker prices recorded yet, so this pick has not been checked against the market.
St. Vincent / Grenadines vs Belize overview
Garuda Lions analysis: St. Vincent / Grenadines vs Belize
| Probability | St. Vincent / Grenadines | Draw | Belize |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 65.2% | 22.7% | 12.1% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 65.2% | 22.7% | 12.1% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why St. Vincent / Grenadines
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.94 vs 0.72.
- Better recent form: 5 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
St. Vincent / Grenadines vs Belize match preview
St. Vincent / Grenadines enters this matchup against Belize with a strong recent form, having won four of their last six matches, while Belize has struggled significantly, losing five of their last six. Our model assigns a 65% probability of a St. Vincent / Grenadines victory, with an expected goals tally of 1.94 compared to Belize's 0.72. The most likely scoreline is projected at 2-0, occurring with a 13% probability.
In terms of overall scoring potential, there is a 50% chance of over 2.5 goals in the match, and a 45% likelihood that both teams will score. The head-to-head record favors St. Vincent / Grenadines, who have won all three of their recent encounters against Belize, indicating a strong historical advantage.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
St. Vincent / Grenadines and Belize expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.67
St. Vincent / Grenadines and Belize attack and defence ratings
St. Vincent / Grenadines
Belize
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other League B - 4 fixtures
- Belize vs St. Vincent / Grenadines
- Sint Maarten v St. Vincent / Grenadines — match page
- Belize vs French Guyana — team news & stats
- St. Vincent / Grenadines vs Sint Maarten — team news & stats
- French Guyana v Belize — match page
- Belize vs Sint Maarten — team news & stats
- French Guyana vs St. Vincent / Grenadines
- Sint Maarten v French Guyana — match page
Before and after this match
St. Vincent / Grenadines vs Belize markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | St. Vincent / Grenadines | 65.2% | 1.53 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 50.2% | 1.99 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 54.9% | 1.82 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 87.9% | 1.14 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | St. Vincent / Grenadines win | 40.7% | 2.46 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | St. Vincent / Grenadines | 65.2% |
| Draw | 22.7% | |
| Belize | 12.1% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 49.8% |
| Under 2.5 | 50.2% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 45.1% |
| No | 54.9% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 87.9% |
| 12 (either side) | 77.3% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 34.8% | |
| Handicap -1 | St. Vincent / Grenadines win | 40.7% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 24.5% | |
| Loss | 34.8% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 2-0 | 13.1% |
| 1-0 | 12.5% | |
| 1-1 | 10.8% |
St. Vincent / Grenadines vs Belize stats
St. Vincent / Grenadines and Belize recent form
| St. Vincent / Grenadines |
WWWWLW |
| Belize |
LLLWLL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
St. Vincent / Grenadines vs Belize head-to-head
Last 3 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-30 | Belize | St. Vincent / Grenadines | CONCACAF Nations League | 0-1 |
| 2023-11-21 | St. Vincent / Grenadines | Belize | CONCACAF Nations League | 3-0 |
| 2023-09-08 | Belize | St. Vincent / Grenadines | CONCACAF Nations League | 1-2 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.