Omonia Nicosia
vs
St. Truiden
4 – 2 Full time
Omonia Nicosia vs St. Truiden overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Omonia Nicosia vs St. Truiden
| Probability | Omonia Nicosia | Draw | St. Truiden |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 57.1% | 26.5% | 16.4% |
| Market | 48.0% | 26.7% | 25.3% |
| Final | 50.3% | 26.7% | 23.1% |
| Edge | +9.1% | -0.3% | -8.8% |
Why Omonia Nicosia
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.66 vs 0.79.
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
- The market prices Omonia Nicosia below the model: +9.1 percentage points of edge.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Omonia Nicosia and St. Truiden expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.45
Omonia Nicosia and St. Truiden attack and defence ratings
Omonia Nicosia
St. Truiden
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Omonia Nicosia vs St. Truiden: result vs prediction
Omonia Nicosia 4 – 2 St. Truiden
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Play-offs fixtures
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- Universitatea Craiova v Ararat-Armenia — match page
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Before and after this match
Omonia Nicosia vs St. Truiden markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Omonia Nicosia | 50.3% | 1.99 | +9.1% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 55.7% | 1.80 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 54.7% | 1.83 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 76.9% | 1.30 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 42.9% | 2.33 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Omonia Nicosia | 50.3% |
| Draw | 26.7% | |
| St. Truiden | 23.1% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 44.3% |
| Under 2.5 | 55.7% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 45.3% |
| No | 54.7% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 76.9% |
| 12 (either side) | 73.3% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 49.7% | |
| Handicap -1 | Omonia Nicosia win | 32.2% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 24.9% | |
| Loss | 42.9% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-0 | 13.2% |
| 1-1 | 12.4% | |
| 2-0 | 11.9% |
Omonia Nicosia vs St. Truiden stats
Omonia Nicosia and St. Truiden recent form
| Omonia Nicosia |
LWDLWW |
| St. Truiden |
WDDWLD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Omonia Nicosia vs St. Truiden head-to-head
Last 1 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-20 | St. Truiden | Omonia Nicosia | UEFA Europa League | 1-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Omonia Nicosia vs St. Truiden odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 48.0%, draw 26.7%, away 25.3%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 1.93 | 3.50 | 3.80 |
| 1xBet | 2.01 | 3.62 | 3.89 |
| Bet365 | 1.95 | 3.40 | 3.30 |
| BetVictor | 1.95 | 3.40 | 3.80 |
| Betano | 2.00 | 3.55 | 3.70 |
| Betfair | 1.95 | 3.40 | 3.70 |
| Dafabet | 1.98 | 3.60 | 3.90 |
| Marathonbet | 2.05 | 3.42 | 3.42 |
| Pinnacle | 2.10 | 3.58 | 3.39 |
| SBO | 1.95 | 3.07 | 3.44 |
| Superbet | 2.05 | 3.50 | 3.65 |
| Unibet | 1.87 | 3.50 | 4.00 |
| William Hill | 1.91 | 3.25 | 3.50 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
14 snapshots recorded, from .