Premijer Liga · Full time ·Matchday 2

Zeljeznicar Sarajevo vs FK Sarajevo

2 – 0 Full time

41′M. Karamarko
46′B. BarisicR. Caraballo
47′R. Piloto
59′S. Pidro
60′R. PilotoM. Huskovic
64′D. Kelmendi
66′Y. DaboE. Dragovic
66′M. SosicJ. Freeman
71′J. Ivanisevic
73′M. Huskovic
77′S. PidroF. Kosi
79′A. EleziF. Zivkovic
82′G. CunhaA. Korora
82′S. RadovacD. Milosevic
85′S. MeiteG. Cimirot
85′M. KupresakJ. Agyekum
90′A. Ibrisimovic

Stadion Grbavica, SarajevoReferee: N. Ljajic

Zeljeznicar Sarajevo 28%
Draw 31%
FK Sarajevo 41%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Zeljeznicar Sarajevo vs FK Sarajevo overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Zeljeznicar Sarajevo vs FK Sarajevo

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityZeljeznicar SarajevoDrawFK Sarajevo
Model34.3%32.9%32.8%
Market25.5%30.7%43.8%
Final27.7%31.3%41.0%
Edge+8.8%+2.2%-11.0%

Confidence: Low

Why FK Sarajevo

  • Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Zeljeznicar Sa ↓ / FK Sarajevo → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 14% 12% 1 12% 15% 2 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 86%
2+ goals 63%
3+ goals 34%
No goals 14%

Zeljeznicar Sarajevo and FK Sarajevo expected goals

Zeljeznicar Sarajevo 1.05
FK Sarajevo 1.02

Total expected goals: 2.07

Zeljeznicar Sarajevo and FK Sarajevo attack and defence ratings

Zeljeznicar Sarajevo

Attack 1.01 +1%
Defence 1.01 +1%

FK Sarajevo

Attack 1.14 +14%
Defence 0.79 -21%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Zeljeznicar Sarajevo vs FK Sarajevo: result vs prediction

Zeljeznicar Sarajevo 2 – 0 FK Sarajevo

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Matchday 2 fixtures

Premijer Liga

Before and after this match

Zeljeznicar Sarajevo vs FK Sarajevo markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 FK Sarajevo 41.0% 2.44 -11.0% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 65.8% 1.52 — —
Both teams to score No 57.1% 1.75 — —
Double chance X2 (draw or away) 72.3% 1.38 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 67.2% 1.49 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Zeljeznicar Sarajevo27.7%
Draw31.3%
FK Sarajevo41.0%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.534.2%
Under 2.565.8%
Both teams to scoreYes42.9%
No57.1%
Double chance1X (home or draw)59.0%
12 (either side)68.7%
X2 (draw or away)72.3%
Handicap -1FK Sarajevo win13.0%
Push (exactly one goal)19.8%
Loss67.2%
Correct score (top 3)1-114.9%
0-014.0%
1-011.9%

Zeljeznicar Sarajevo vs FK Sarajevo stats

Zeljeznicar Sarajevo and FK Sarajevo recent form

newest first

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Zeljeznicar Sarajevo and FK Sarajevo going into this match

league record before kick-off

Zeljeznicar Sarajevo record

  • They have won 2 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.

FK Sarajevo record

  • They have won 3 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 0.8 goals per match.
  • They have kept 3 clean sheets in 5 matches.
  • 43% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Zeljeznicar Sarajevo vs FK Sarajevo head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

2Zeljeznicar Sarajevo wins 4Draws 4FK Sarajevo wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-05-25FK SarajevoZeljeznicar SarajevoPremijer Liga1-0
2026-04-04Zeljeznicar SarajevoFK SarajevoPremijer Liga0-0
2025-12-07FK SarajevoZeljeznicar SarajevoPremijer Liga4-0
2025-09-27Zeljeznicar SarajevoFK SarajevoPremijer Liga2-0
2025-04-27FK SarajevoZeljeznicar SarajevoPremijer Liga2-1
2025-02-22Zeljeznicar SarajevoFK SarajevoPremijer Liga0-0
2024-09-25FK SarajevoZeljeznicar SarajevoPremijer Liga1-1
2024-04-14Zeljeznicar SarajevoFK SarajevoPremijer Liga0-0
2024-03-03Zeljeznicar SarajevoFK SarajevoPremijer Liga3-0
2023-10-08FK SarajevoZeljeznicar SarajevoPremijer Liga3-0

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Zeljeznicar Sarajevo vs FK Sarajevo odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 25.5%, draw 30.7%, away 43.8%.

Bookmaker1X2
10Bet 3.50 2.95 2.10
1xBet 3.68 2.90 2.07
Bet365 3.50 3.00 2.00
BetVictor 3.13 2.70 1.95
Betano 3.60 3.00 2.10
Betfair 3.50 3.00 2.05
Dafabet 3.70 3.00 2.10
Marathonbet 3.60 2.90 2.05
Pinnacle 3.71 2.86 2.11
Superbet 3.55 2.92 2.07
Unibet 3.40 3.15 1.89

Odds movement

Only one odds snapshot recorded so far — movement needs at least two.