Garuda Lions
Today
Canadian Premier League · Full time ·Group Stage

Cavalry FC vs Atlético Ottawa

3 – 1 Full time

ATCO FieldReferee: Y. Rudolf

Cavalry FC 61%
Draw 22%
Atlético Ottawa 17%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Cavalry FC vs Atlético Ottawa overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Cavalry FC vs Atlético Ottawa

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityCavalry FCDrawAtlético Ottawa
Model63.1%21.6%15.3%
Market60.3%22.3%17.5%
Final61.0%22.1%16.9%
Edge+2.9%-0.6%-2.2%

Confidence: Low

Why Cavalry FC

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.15 vs 0.98.
  • The market prices Cavalry FC below the model: +2.9 percentage points of edge.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Cavalry FC ↓ / Atlético Ottaw → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 5% 1 8% 10% 2 10% 10% 3 7% 7% 4+ 6% 6%

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 95%
2+ goals 83%
3+ goals 61%
No goals 5%

Cavalry FC and Atlético Ottawa expected goals

Cavalry FC 2.15
Atlético Ottawa 0.98

Total expected goals: 3.13

Cavalry FC and Atlético Ottawa attack and defence ratings

Cavalry FC

Attack 1.26 +26%
Defence 0.57 -43%

Atlético Ottawa

Attack 1.31 +31%
Defence 1.02 +2%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Cavalry FC vs Atlético Ottawa: result vs prediction

Cavalry FC 3 – 1 Atlético Ottawa

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Before and after this match

Cavalry FC vs Atlético Ottawa markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Cavalry FC 61.0% 1.64 +2.9% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 60.4% 1.66 — —
Both teams to score Yes 56.0% 1.79 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 83.1% 1.20 — —
Handicap -1 Cavalry FC win 40.7% 2.45 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Cavalry FC61.0%
Draw22.1%
Atlético Ottawa16.9%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.560.4%
Under 2.539.6%
Both teams to scoreYes56.0%
No44.0%
Double chance1X (home or draw)83.1%
12 (either side)77.9%
X2 (draw or away)39.0%
Handicap -1Cavalry FC win40.7%
Push (exactly one goal)22.5%
Loss36.7%
Correct score (top 3)1-110.2%
2-010.1%
2-19.9%

Cavalry FC vs Atlético Ottawa stats

Cavalry FC and Atlético Ottawa recent form

newest first
Cavalry FC WDWWLD
Atlético Ottawa WWWLWD

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Cavalry FC and Atlético Ottawa going into this match

league record before kick-off

Cavalry FC record

  • They have won 13 of their 19 league games this season, scoring 1.9 goals per match.
  • They average 2.3 goals per game at home against 1.6 on the road.
  • They have kept 8 clean sheets in 19 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 3 of 19 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
  • They have converted 3 of 3 penalties (100%).

Atlético Ottawa record

  • They have won 10 of their 20 league games this season, scoring 1.7 goals per match.
  • They average 2.1 goals per game at home against 1.3 on the road.
  • They have kept 3 clean sheets in 20 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
  • They have converted 2 of 4 penalties (50%).
  • 57% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Cavalry FC vs Atlético Ottawa head-to-head

Last 9 meetings

3Cavalry FC wins 2Draws 4Atlético Ottawa wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-07-04Atlético OttawaCavalry FCCanadian Premier League0-3
2026-04-12Cavalry FCAtlético OttawaCanadian Premier League3-1
2025-11-09Atlético OttawaCavalry FCCanadian Premier League2-1
2025-09-27Atlético OttawaCavalry FCCanadian Premier League3-0
2025-08-23Atlético OttawaCavalry FCCanadian Premier League2-2
2025-06-28Cavalry FCAtlético OttawaCanadian Premier League0-2
2025-04-26Cavalry FCAtlético OttawaCanadian Premier League1-3
2024-09-15Cavalry FCAtlético OttawaCanadian Premier League2-2
2024-08-03Atlético OttawaCavalry FCCanadian Premier League1-2

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Cavalry FC vs Atlético Ottawa odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 60.7%, draw 22.2%, away 17.1%.

Bookmaker1X2
10Bet 1.50 4.10 5.60
1xBet 1.49 3.96 5.61
888Sport 1.44 3.75 5.50
Bet365 1.53 4.00 5.25
BetVictor 1.50 4.10 5.50
Betano 1.60 4.10 5.00
Betfair 1.44 4.20 5.50
Dafabet 1.56 4.20 5.20
Marathonbet 1.48 3.96 5.40
Pinnacle 1.53 4.10 5.16
SBO 1.44 3.68 4.70
Superbet 1.56 4.20 5.10
Unibet 1.45 4.30 6.10
William Hill 1.55 3.60 5.00

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 1.52 ▲ +0.02
X 4.10 —
2 5.22 ▼ -0.12

2 snapshots recorded, from .