Canadian Premier League
·
Full time
·Group Stage
Cavalry FC
vs
Vancouver FC
1 – 0 Full time
Cavalry FC
65%
Draw
22%
Vancouver FC
13%
Cavalry FC vs Vancouver FC overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Cavalry FC vs Vancouver FC
| Probability | Cavalry FC | Draw | Vancouver FC |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 64.6% | 22.4% | 12.9% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 64.6% | 22.4% | 12.9% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Cavalry FC
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.00 vs 0.79.
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 3 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
93%
2+ goals
78%
3+ goals
53%
No goals
7%
Cavalry FC and Vancouver FC expected goals
Cavalry FC
2.00
Vancouver FC
0.79
Total expected goals: 2.79
Cavalry FC and Vancouver FC attack and defence ratings
Cavalry FC
Attack
1.36 +36%
Defence
0.60 -40%
Vancouver FC
Attack
1.01 +1%
Defence
0.88 -12%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Cavalry FC vs Vancouver FC: result vs prediction
Cavalry FC 1 – 0 Vancouver FC
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Before and after this match
Cavalry FC vs Vancouver FC markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Cavalry FC | 64.6% | 1.55 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 52.7% | 1.90 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 51.9% | 1.93 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 87.1% | 1.15 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Cavalry FC win | 40.9% | 2.44 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Cavalry FC | 64.6% |
| Draw | 22.4% | |
| Vancouver FC | 12.9% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 52.7% |
| Under 2.5 | 47.3% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 48.1% |
| No | 51.9% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 87.1% |
| 12 (either side) | 77.6% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 35.4% | |
| Handicap -1 | Cavalry FC win | 40.9% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 23.9% | |
| Loss | 35.1% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 2-0 | 12.3% |
| 1-0 | 11.4% | |
| 1-1 | 10.7% |
Cavalry FC vs Vancouver FC stats
Cavalry FC and Vancouver FC recent form
| WWDWWL | |
| LLDWWW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Cavalry FC and Vancouver FC going into this match
Cavalry FC record
- They have won 13 of their 19 league games this season, scoring 1.9 goals per match.
- They average 2.3 goals per game at home against 1.6 on the road.
- They have kept 8 clean sheets in 19 matches.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 19 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- They have converted 3 of 3 penalties (100%).
Vancouver FC record
- They have won 8 of their 20 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 20 matches.
- They have failed to score in 8 of 20 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 5 matches.
- 37% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Cavalry FC vs Vancouver FC head-to-head
Last 6 meetings
2Cavalry FC wins
3Draws
1Vancouver FC wins
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-25 | Vancouver FC | Cavalry FC | Canadian Premier League | 1-0 |
| 2026-05-18 | Vancouver FC | Cavalry FC | Canadian Premier League | 0-2 |
| 2025-10-18 | Vancouver FC | Cavalry FC | Canadian Premier League | 2-2 |
| 2025-08-17 | Cavalry FC | Vancouver FC | Canadian Premier League | 5-4 |
| 2025-07-14 | Vancouver FC | Cavalry FC | Canadian Premier League | 0-0 |
| 2025-04-18 | Cavalry FC | Vancouver FC | Canadian Premier League | 1-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.