Canadian Premier League · Full time ·Group Stage

Cavalry FC vs Vancouver FC

1 – 0 Full time

ATCO FieldReferee: M. Venne

Cavalry FC 65%
Draw 22%
Vancouver FC 13%

Confidence: Low  ·  model-only, no market odds

Cavalry FC vs Vancouver FC overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Cavalry FC vs Vancouver FC

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityCavalry FCDrawVancouver FC
Model64.6%22.4%12.9%
Market———
Final64.6%22.4%12.9%
Edge———

Confidence: Low

Why Cavalry FC

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.00 vs 0.79.
  • Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 3 for the opposition.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Cavalry FC ↓ / Vancouver FC → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 7% 1 11% 11% 2 12% 10% 3 8% 6% 4+ 7%

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 93%
2+ goals 78%
3+ goals 53%
No goals 7%

Cavalry FC and Vancouver FC expected goals

Cavalry FC 2.00
Vancouver FC 0.79

Total expected goals: 2.79

Cavalry FC and Vancouver FC attack and defence ratings

Cavalry FC

Attack 1.36 +36%
Defence 0.60 -40%

Vancouver FC

Attack 1.01 +1%
Defence 0.88 -12%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Cavalry FC vs Vancouver FC: result vs prediction

Cavalry FC 1 – 0 Vancouver FC

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Before and after this match

Cavalry FC vs Vancouver FC markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Cavalry FC 64.6% 1.55 — —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 52.7% 1.90 — —
Both teams to score No 51.9% 1.93 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 87.1% 1.15 — —
Handicap -1 Cavalry FC win 40.9% 2.44 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Cavalry FC64.6%
Draw22.4%
Vancouver FC12.9%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.552.7%
Under 2.547.3%
Both teams to scoreYes48.1%
No51.9%
Double chance1X (home or draw)87.1%
12 (either side)77.6%
X2 (draw or away)35.4%
Handicap -1Cavalry FC win40.9%
Push (exactly one goal)23.9%
Loss35.1%
Correct score (top 3)2-012.3%
1-011.4%
1-110.7%

Cavalry FC vs Vancouver FC stats

Cavalry FC and Vancouver FC recent form

newest first
Cavalry FC WWDWWL
Vancouver FC LLDWWW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Cavalry FC and Vancouver FC going into this match

league record before kick-off

Cavalry FC record

  • They have won 13 of their 19 league games this season, scoring 1.9 goals per match.
  • They average 2.3 goals per game at home against 1.6 on the road.
  • They have kept 8 clean sheets in 19 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 3 of 19 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
  • They have converted 3 of 3 penalties (100%).

Vancouver FC record

  • They have won 8 of their 20 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
  • They have kept 3 clean sheets in 20 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 8 of 20 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 5 matches.
  • 37% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Cavalry FC vs Vancouver FC head-to-head

Last 6 meetings

2Cavalry FC wins 3Draws 1Vancouver FC wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-07-25Vancouver FCCavalry FCCanadian Premier League1-0
2026-05-18Vancouver FCCavalry FCCanadian Premier League0-2
2025-10-18Vancouver FCCavalry FCCanadian Premier League2-2
2025-08-17Cavalry FCVancouver FCCanadian Premier League5-4
2025-07-14Vancouver FCCavalry FCCanadian Premier League0-0
2025-04-18Cavalry FCVancouver FCCanadian Premier League1-1

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Cavalry FC vs Vancouver FC odds

No bookmaker odds yet

Bookmakers usually price a fixture ~14 days before kickoff. We record snapshots twice a day, so the comparison table and price movement will appear here as soon as the market opens. Until then every probability on this page is model-only.