Garuda Lions
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Canadian Premier League · Full time ·Group Stage

HFX Wanderers FC vs Cavalry FC

1 – 3 Full time

26′Nikolas Myroniuk
46′N. MyroniukE. Kobza
48′N. Edwards
59′Nathaniel Edwards
60′A. ReidL. MacKenzie
64′T. Warschewski
68′M. ArillaS. Zitman
68′L. OlguinN. Pierre
68′H. PatonM. Baldisimo
72′A. PearlmanC. Ofori
75′S. Camargo
79′L. CallegariA. Rampersad
79′J. BahamboulaT. Ciccarelli
87′FewoK. Plocinski
87′N. EdwardsM. Henry
87′I. Johnston
90′Isaiah Johnston
90′Curtis Ofori

Wanderers Grounds

HFX Wanderers FC 21%
Draw 24%
Cavalry FC 55%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

13 Shots 9
4 Shots on target 5
60 Possession % 40
1 Corners 2
8 Fouls 14
2 Saves 3
522 Accurate passes 328

HFX Wanderers FC vs Cavalry FC overview

Garuda Lions analysis: HFX Wanderers FC vs Cavalry FC

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityHFX Wanderers FCDrawCavalry FC
Model16.4%22.8%60.8%
Market22.2%24.9%52.9%
Final20.7%24.4%54.9%
Edge-5.8%-2.1%+7.9%

Confidence: Low

Why Cavalry FC

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.03 vs 0.97.
  • Better recent form: 5 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
  • The market prices Cavalry FC below the model: +7.9 percentage points of edge.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

HFX Wanderers ↓ / Cavalry FC → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 6% 9% 10% 7% 6% 1 11% 10% 7% 5% 2 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 94%
2+ goals 81%
3+ goals 58%
No goals 6%

HFX Wanderers FC and Cavalry FC expected goals

HFX Wanderers FC 0.97
Cavalry FC 2.03

Total expected goals: 3.00

HFX Wanderers FC and Cavalry FC attack and defence ratings

HFX Wanderers FC

Attack 1.05 +5%
Defence 1.20 +20%

Cavalry FC

Attack 1.30 +30%
Defence 0.55 -45%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

HFX Wanderers FC vs Cavalry FC: result vs prediction

HFX Wanderers FC 1 – 3 Cavalry FC

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Before and after this match

HFX Wanderers FC vs Cavalry FC markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Cavalry FC 54.9% 1.82 +7.9% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 57.6% 1.74 — —
Both teams to score Yes 54.9% 1.82 — —
Double chance X2 (draw or away) 79.3% 1.26 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 39.2% 2.55 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2HFX Wanderers FC20.7%
Draw24.4%
Cavalry FC54.9%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.557.6%
Under 2.542.4%
Both teams to scoreYes54.9%
No45.1%
Double chance1X (home or draw)45.1%
12 (either side)75.6%
X2 (draw or away)79.3%
Handicap -1Cavalry FC win37.9%
Push (exactly one goal)22.9%
Loss39.2%
Correct score (top 3)1-110.8%
0-210.2%
1-210.0%

HFX Wanderers FC vs Cavalry FC stats

HFX Wanderers FC and Cavalry FC recent form

newest first
HFX Wanderers FC LWLLDL
Cavalry FC WWWDWW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

HFX Wanderers FC and Cavalry FC going into this match

league record before kick-off

HFX Wanderers FC record

  • They have won 5 of their 20 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
  • They have kept 4 clean sheets in 20 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 4 of 20 matches.
  • They have converted 5 of 5 penalties (100%).
  • 41% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Cavalry FC record

  • They have won 13 of their 19 league games this season, scoring 1.9 goals per match.
  • They average 2.3 goals per game at home against 1.6 on the road.
  • They have kept 8 clean sheets in 19 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 3 of 19 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
  • They have converted 3 of 3 penalties (100%).

HFX Wanderers FC vs Cavalry FC head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

1HFX Wanderers FC wins 4Draws 5Cavalry FC wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-07-18Cavalry FCHFX Wanderers FCCanadian Premier League1-1
2026-06-06Cavalry FCHFX Wanderers FCCanadian Premier League2-0
2025-09-13Cavalry FCHFX Wanderers FCCanadian Premier League3-1
2025-08-09Cavalry FCHFX Wanderers FCCanadian Premier League0-0
2025-06-14HFX Wanderers FCCavalry FCCanadian Premier League1-1
2025-05-10HFX Wanderers FCCavalry FCCanadian Premier League0-3
2024-10-12Cavalry FCHFX Wanderers FCCanadian Premier League2-1
2024-08-10Cavalry FCHFX Wanderers FCCanadian Premier League3-2
2024-07-01HFX Wanderers FCCavalry FCCanadian Premier League1-0
2024-05-11HFX Wanderers FCCavalry FCCanadian Premier League1-1

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

HFX Wanderers FC vs Cavalry FC odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 22.2%, draw 24.9%, away 52.9%.

Bookmaker1X2
10Bet 4.35 3.55 1.72
1xBet 4.38 3.65 1.67
Bet365 4.00 3.70 1.70
BetVictor 4.20 3.70 1.70
Betano 4.15 3.40 1.80
Betfair 4.00 3.75 1.70
Dafabet 4.10 3.80 1.78
Marathonbet 4.30 3.65 1.65
Pinnacle 3.87 3.83 1.75
SBO 3.77 3.28 1.64
Superbet 4.10 3.75 1.78
Unibet 4.10 3.60 1.77
William Hill 3.90 3.40 1.73

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 4.10 —
X 3.65 ▲ +0.05
2 1.72 ▲ +0.01

4 snapshots recorded, from .