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Canadian Premier League · Full time ·Group Stage

Supra du Quebec vs HFX Wanderers FC

0 – 2 Full time

39′Charles Auguste
40′Jason Bahamboula
45′I. Johnston
45′Charles AugusteEliakim Matthieu Awonongbadje
59′Zachary Brault GuillardLoic Adrien Kwemi
59′Noah Lauren Trudel dos SantosIbrahim Conde
63′S. ZitmanRyan Telfer
73′Thomas LebeufS. Mlah
73′Omar El KalkouliAboubacar Sissoko
74′Miguel Arilla GuinotNelson Pierre
87′I. JohnstonFrancesco Troisi
88′Lucas OlguinFinn Linder
88′Jason BahamboulaLiam MacKenzie

CEPSUM Stadium

Supra du Quebec 51%
Draw 23%
HFX Wanderers FC 26%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

21 Shots 11
3 Shots on target 6
55 Possession % 45
1 Corners 3
17 Fouls 8
4 Saves 3
491 Accurate passes 403

Supra du Quebec vs HFX Wanderers FC overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Supra du Quebec vs HFX Wanderers FC

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilitySupra du QuebecDrawHFX Wanderers FC
Model49.6%22.1%28.3%
Market51.2%23.7%25.1%
Final50.8%23.3%25.9%
Edge-1.5%-1.6%+3.1%

Confidence: Low

Why Supra du Quebec

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.19 vs 1.64.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Supra du Quebe ↓ / HFX Wanderers → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 1 9% 6% 2 5% 9% 7% 3 6% 5% 4+ 6% 5%

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 97%
2+ goals 90%
3+ goals 73%
No goals 3%

Supra du Quebec and HFX Wanderers FC expected goals

Supra du Quebec 2.19
HFX Wanderers FC 1.64

Total expected goals: 3.82

Supra du Quebec and HFX Wanderers FC attack and defence ratings

Supra du Quebec

Attack 1.02 +2%
Defence 1.21 +21%

HFX Wanderers FC

Attack 1.03 +3%
Defence 1.28 +28%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Supra du Quebec vs HFX Wanderers FC: result vs prediction

Supra du Quebec 0 – 2 HFX Wanderers FC

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Before and after this match

Supra du Quebec vs HFX Wanderers FC markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Supra du Quebec 50.8% 1.97 -1.5% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 73.5% 1.36 — —
Both teams to score Yes 72.3% 1.38 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 76.7% 1.30 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 50.4% 1.98 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Supra du Quebec50.8%
Draw23.3%
HFX Wanderers FC25.9%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.573.5%
Under 2.526.5%
Both teams to scoreYes72.3%
No27.7%
Double chance1X (home or draw)74.1%
12 (either side)76.7%
X2 (draw or away)49.2%
Handicap -1Supra du Quebec win30.2%
Push (exactly one goal)19.5%
Loss50.4%
Correct score (top 3)1-18.6%
2-18.5%
2-27.0%

Supra du Quebec vs HFX Wanderers FC stats

Supra du Quebec and HFX Wanderers FC recent form

newest first
Supra du Quebec LWDLLD
HFX Wanderers FC LLWLLD

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Supra du Quebec and HFX Wanderers FC going into this match

league record before kick-off

Supra du Quebec record

  • They have won 6 of their 20 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
  • They average 1.8 goals per game on the road against 1.1 at home.
  • They have failed to score in 3 of 20 matches.
  • They have converted 4 of 4 penalties (100%).
  • 35% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

HFX Wanderers FC record

  • They have won 5 of their 21 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
  • They have kept 4 clean sheets in 21 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 4 of 21 matches.
  • They have converted 6 of 6 penalties (100%).
  • 43% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Supra du Quebec vs HFX Wanderers FC head-to-head

Last 2 meetings

2Supra du Quebec wins 0Draws 0HFX Wanderers FC wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-07-24HFX Wanderers FCSupra du QuebecCanadian Premier League2-3
2026-04-24Supra du QuebecHFX Wanderers FCCanadian Premier League2-1

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Supra du Quebec vs HFX Wanderers FC odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 51.2%, draw 23.7%, away 25.1%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 1.78 3.84 3.58
Bet365 1.75 3.60 3.75
BetVictor 1.75 3.80 3.80
Betano 1.82 3.90 3.80
Betfair 1.80 3.75 3.60
Marathonbet 1.76 3.84 3.52
Pinnacle 1.75 3.92 3.43
SBO 1.73 3.26 3.41
William Hill 1.80 3.50 3.50

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 1.76 ▼ -0.25
X 3.80 ▲ +0.54
2 3.58 ▲ +0.27

4 snapshots recorded, from .