Canadian Premier League
·
Full time
·Group Stage
Pacific FC
vs
HFX Wanderers FC
4 – 3 Full time
| 3′ | D. Konincks | ||
| 34′ | T. Gomulka | ||
| 37′ | Sven Zitman | ||
| 48′ | Juan David Quintana | ||
| 53′ | L. Callegari | ||
| 56′ | K. Chung | ||
| 60′ | A. ReidN. Pierre | ||
| 66′ | Jason Bahamboula | ||
| 72′ | A. DanielsM. Vales | ||
| 72′ | R. KrattA. Diaz | ||
| 75′ | R. Telfer | ||
| 79′ | I. JohnstonK. Sow | ||
| 79′ | S. ZitmanF. Troisi | ||
| 83′ | Y. R. ToualyJ. Belluz | ||
| 83′ | T. GomulkaL. Browning Lagerfeldt | ||
| 83′ | M. BustosS. Hundal | ||
| 85′ | D. Konincks | ||
| 90′ | L. OlguinA. Rampersad | ||
| 90′ | J. BahamboulaT. Ciccarelli | ||
| 90′ | D. Konincks |
Pacific FC
33%
Draw
26%
HFX Wanderers FC
41%
Match stats
| 26 | Shots | 7 |
|---|---|---|
| 11 | Shots on target | 3 |
| 55 | Possession % | 45 |
| 3 | Corners | 3 |
| 11 | Fouls | 12 |
| 0 | Offsides | 1 |
| 1 | Saves | 7 |
| 494 | Accurate passes | 384 |
Pacific FC vs HFX Wanderers FC overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Pacific FC vs HFX Wanderers FC
| Probability | Pacific FC | Draw | HFX Wanderers FC |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 31.7% | 26.9% | 41.4% |
| Market | 33.2% | 25.4% | 41.4% |
| Final | 32.8% | 25.8% | 41.4% |
| Edge | -1.6% | +1.5% | +0.1% |
Why HFX Wanderers FC
- Better recent form: 1 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
93%
2+ goals
80%
3+ goals
55%
No goals
7%
Pacific FC and HFX Wanderers FC expected goals
Pacific FC
1.34
HFX Wanderers FC
1.56
Total expected goals: 2.90
Pacific FC and HFX Wanderers FC attack and defence ratings
Pacific FC
Attack
0.75 -25%
Defence
1.27 +27%
HFX Wanderers FC
Attack
0.95 -5%
Defence
1.07 +7%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Pacific FC vs HFX Wanderers FC: result vs prediction
Pacific FC 4 – 3 HFX Wanderers FC
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Before and after this match
Pacific FC vs HFX Wanderers FC markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | HFX Wanderers FC | 41.4% | 2.42 | +0.1% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 55.4% | 1.81 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 59.4% | 1.68 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 74.2% | 1.35 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 58.6% | 1.71 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Pacific FC | 32.8% |
| Draw | 25.8% | |
| HFX Wanderers FC | 41.4% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 55.4% |
| Under 2.5 | 44.6% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 59.4% |
| No | 40.6% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 58.6% |
| 12 (either side) | 74.2% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 67.2% | |
| Handicap -1 | HFX Wanderers FC win | 21.3% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20.1% | |
| Loss | 58.6% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 12.7% |
| 1-2 | 9.0% | |
| 2-1 | 7.7% |
Pacific FC vs HFX Wanderers FC stats
Pacific FC and HFX Wanderers FC recent form
| Pacific FC |
LDDLLL |
| HFX Wanderers FC |
WLLDLD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Pacific FC and HFX Wanderers FC going into this match
Pacific FC record
- They have won 1 of their 19 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 5 of 19 matches.
- 39% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
HFX Wanderers FC record
- They have won 5 of their 20 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 20 matches.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 20 matches.
- They have converted 5 of 5 penalties (100%).
- 41% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Pacific FC vs HFX Wanderers FC head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
2Pacific FC wins
4Draws
4HFX Wanderers FC wins
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-05 | Pacific FC | HFX Wanderers FC | Canadian Premier League | 1-2 |
| 2026-06-26 | HFX Wanderers FC | Pacific FC | Canadian Premier League | 5-2 |
| 2026-04-18 | HFX Wanderers FC | Pacific FC | Canadian Premier League | 2-2 |
| 2025-09-20 | HFX Wanderers FC | Pacific FC | Canadian Premier League | 3-0 |
| 2025-08-16 | Pacific FC | HFX Wanderers FC | Canadian Premier League | 2-2 |
| 2025-07-12 | Pacific FC | HFX Wanderers FC | Canadian Premier League | 3-2 |
| 2025-04-19 | HFX Wanderers FC | Pacific FC | Canadian Premier League | 3-1 |
| 2024-09-18 | HFX Wanderers FC | Pacific FC | Canadian Premier League | 2-2 |
| 2024-09-08 | Pacific FC | HFX Wanderers FC | Canadian Premier League | 3-0 |
| 2024-06-08 | HFX Wanderers FC | Pacific FC | Canadian Premier League | 0-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Pacific FC vs HFX Wanderers FC odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 33.2%, draw 25.4%, away 41.4%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 2.78 | 3.65 | 2.20 |
| 1xBet | 2.71 | 3.54 | 2.22 |
| Bet365 | 2.80 | 3.40 | 2.10 |
| BetVictor | 2.75 | 3.60 | 2.20 |
| Betano | 2.77 | 3.65 | 2.30 |
| Betfair | 2.80 | 3.60 | 2.10 |
| Dafabet | 2.75 | 3.75 | 2.27 |
| Marathonbet | 2.66 | 3.54 | 2.20 |
| Pinnacle | 2.66 | 3.72 | 2.24 |
| Superbet | 2.75 | 3.70 | 2.27 |
| Unibet | 2.80 | 3.45 | 2.28 |
| William Hill | 2.62 | 3.40 | 2.20 |