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Canadian Premier League · Full time ·Group Stage

Atlético Ottawa vs Pacific FC

0 – 0 Full time

41′Juan David Quintana Echeverry
45′Christian Greco-Taylor
55′Kamron HabibullahJoaquim Coulanges
56′Jean-Aniel AssiDiego Gutiérrez
56′Daniel AguilarJuan Castro
65′Tim Arnaud
68′Lukas Browning LagerfeldtJosh Heard
69′Aidan DanielsM. Vales
75′R. KrattAlejandro Diaz
75′Marco BustosShaan Hundal
80′Loïc Cloutier
81′Y. ToualyTristan Kendal Marshall
83′Tim ArnaudNoah Abraham Sewonet Abatneh
83′G. AntinoroEmiliano·García

TD Place Stadium

Atlético Ottawa 57%
Draw 21%
Pacific FC 22%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

11 Shots 10
5 Shots on target 4
52 Possession % 48
6 Corners 3
15 Fouls 12
1 Offsides 2
4 Saves 4
411 Accurate passes 377

Atlético Ottawa vs Pacific FC overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Atlético Ottawa vs Pacific FC

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityAtlético OttawaDrawPacific FC
Model69.4%16.8%13.8%
Market52.6%22.6%24.8%
Final56.8%21.2%22.0%
Edge+16.8%-5.8%-11.0%

Confidence: Low

Why Atlético Ottawa

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.83 vs 1.26.
  • Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
  • The market prices Atlético Ottawa below the model: +16.8 percentage points of edge.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Atlético Ottaw ↓ / Pacific FC → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 1 7% 2 7% 8% 3 6% 8% 4+ 9% 11% 7%

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 98%
2+ goals 92%
3+ goals 77%
No goals 2%

Atlético Ottawa and Pacific FC expected goals

Atlético Ottawa 2.83
Pacific FC 1.26

Total expected goals: 4.09

Atlético Ottawa and Pacific FC attack and defence ratings

Atlético Ottawa

Attack 1.27 +27%
Defence 1.04 +4%

Pacific FC

Attack 0.92 -8%
Defence 1.33 +33%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Atlético Ottawa vs Pacific FC: result vs prediction

Atlético Ottawa 0 – 0 Pacific FC

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Before and after this match

Atlético Ottawa vs Pacific FC markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Atlético Ottawa 56.8% 1.76 +16.8% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 77.4% 1.29 — —
Both teams to score Yes 67.9% 1.47 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 78.8% 1.27 — —
Handicap -1 Atlético Ottawa win 50.0% 2.00 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Atlético Ottawa56.8%
Draw21.2%
Pacific FC22.0%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.577.4%
Under 2.522.6%
Both teams to scoreYes67.9%
No32.1%
Double chance1X (home or draw)78.0%
12 (either side)78.8%
X2 (draw or away)43.2%
Handicap -1Atlético Ottawa win50.0%
Push (exactly one goal)19.4%
Loss30.6%
Correct score (top 3)2-18.5%
3-18.0%
2-06.7%

Atlético Ottawa vs Pacific FC stats

Atlético Ottawa and Pacific FC recent form

newest first
Atlético Ottawa WLWWWL
Pacific FC WLDDLL

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Atlético Ottawa and Pacific FC going into this match

league record before kick-off

Atlético Ottawa record

  • They have won 10 of their 20 league games this season, scoring 1.7 goals per match.
  • They average 2.1 goals per game at home against 1.3 on the road.
  • They have kept 3 clean sheets in 20 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
  • They have converted 2 of 4 penalties (50%).
  • 57% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Pacific FC record

  • They have won 1 of their 19 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
  • They have failed to score in 5 of 19 matches.
  • 39% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Atlético Ottawa vs Pacific FC head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

6Atlético Ottawa wins 2Draws 2Pacific FC wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-07-26Atlético OttawaPacific FCCanadian Premier League3-2
2026-05-30Pacific FCAtlético OttawaCanadian Premier League2-2
2025-09-06Atlético OttawaPacific FCCanadian Premier League2-0
2025-07-27Pacific FCAtlético OttawaCanadian Premier League0-2
2025-06-07Pacific FCAtlético OttawaCanadian Premier League0-1
2025-05-03Atlético OttawaPacific FCCanadian Premier League3-1
2024-09-22Atlético OttawaPacific FCCanadian Premier League1-1
2024-08-17Pacific FCAtlético OttawaCanadian Premier League0-3
2024-07-07Atlético OttawaPacific FCCanadian Premier League0-1
2024-05-30Pacific FCAtlético OttawaCanadian Championship2-1

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Atlético Ottawa vs Pacific FC odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 52.7%, draw 22.8%, away 24.6%.

Bookmaker1X2
10Bet 1.73 4.00 3.80
1xBet 1.71 4.05 3.71
Bet365 1.75 3.70 3.70
BetVictor 1.73 4.00 3.75
Betano 1.78 4.20 3.75
Betfair 1.65 4.00 4.00
Dafabet 1.75 4.30 3.75
Marathonbet 1.69 4.05 3.65
Pinnacle 1.75 4.27 3.39
Unibet 1.81 4.00 3.50
William Hill 1.73 3.80 3.50

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 1.73 ▲ +0.06
X 4.03 ▲ +0.03
2 3.67 ▼ -0.12

4 snapshots recorded, from .