Canadian Premier League · Full time ·Group Stage

York United vs Pacific FC

3 – 3 Full time

14′R. Kratt
20′Ollie Bassett
45′Tomasz Skublak
46′J. CordovaK. Kibato
46′C. GuzmanL. Accettola
55′K. Kibato
57′Y. R. Toualy
59′L. Accettola
64′K. ClarkeJ. Costa
65′J. HeardK. Chung
76′T. SkublakC. Onyeocha
76′M. BustosM. Vales
76′R. KrattA. Diaz
77′Diego Konincks
79′Christian Greco-Taylor
80′Steffen Yeates
85′A. Diaz
87′Y. R. ToualyT. Marshall
87′A. DanielsS. Hundal
87′L. Singh
90′Oswaldo León
90′Jesse Costa
90′Chimaobim Onyeocha
90′Roshawn Juhmi
90′Tristan Marshall

York Lions Stadium

York United 41%
Draw 25%
Pacific FC 34%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

19 Shots 13
8 Shots on target 7
51 Possession % 49
8 Corners 3
22 Fouls 13
0 Offsides 4
4 Saves 5
320 Accurate passes 308

York United vs Pacific FC overview

Garuda Lions analysis: York United vs Pacific FC

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityYork UnitedDrawPacific FC
Model41.9%24.8%33.3%
Market41.0%24.8%34.2%
Final41.2%24.8%34.0%
Edge+0.8%+0.1%-0.9%

Confidence: Low

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

York United ↓ / Pacific FC → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 1 11% 8% 2 6% 9% 7% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 95%
2+ goals 85%
3+ goals 64%
No goals 5%

York United and Pacific FC expected goals

York United 1.76
Pacific FC 1.56

Total expected goals: 3.31

York United and Pacific FC attack and defence ratings

York United

Attack 0.87 -13%
Defence 1.39 +39%

Pacific FC

Attack 0.86 -14%
Defence 1.21 +21%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

York United vs Pacific FC: result vs prediction

York United 3 – 3 Pacific FC

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Before and after this match

York United vs Pacific FC markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 York United 41.2% 2.43 +0.8% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 64.4% 1.55 — —
Both teams to score Yes 66.3% 1.51 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 75.2% 1.33 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 58.1% 1.72 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2York United41.2%
Draw24.8%
Pacific FC34.0%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.564.4%
Under 2.535.6%
Both teams to scoreYes66.3%
No33.7%
Double chance1X (home or draw)66.0%
12 (either side)75.2%
X2 (draw or away)58.8%
Handicap -1York United win22.7%
Push (exactly one goal)19.2%
Loss58.1%
Correct score (top 3)1-110.9%
2-18.7%
1-27.7%

York United vs Pacific FC stats

York United and Pacific FC recent form

newest first
York United DLDWDL
Pacific FC DWLDDL

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

York United and Pacific FC going into this match

league record before kick-off

York United record

  • They have won 4 of their 18 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
  • They average 1.9 goals per game at home against 0.8 on the road.

Pacific FC record

  • They have won 1 of their 19 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
  • They have failed to score in 5 of 19 matches.
  • 39% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

York United vs Pacific FC head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

5York United wins 3Draws 2Pacific FC wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-08-08Pacific FCYork UnitedCanadian Premier League1-1
2026-05-17Pacific FCYork UnitedCanadian Premier League0-1
2025-10-09York UnitedPacific FCCanadian Premier League2-2
2025-08-24York UnitedPacific FCCanadian Premier League5-1
2025-06-14Pacific FCYork UnitedCanadian Premier League1-3
2025-05-11Pacific FCYork UnitedCanadian Premier League2-1
2024-10-23York UnitedPacific FCCanadian Premier League2-0
2024-10-11York UnitedPacific FCCanadian Premier League1-2
2024-08-03Pacific FCYork UnitedCanadian Premier League1-1
2024-06-19York UnitedPacific FCCanadian Premier League2-0

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

York United vs Pacific FC odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 41.0%, draw 24.8%, away 34.2%.

Bookmaker1X2
10Bet 2.24 3.65 2.70
1xBet 2.22 3.64 2.66
888Sport 2.20 3.50 2.60
Bet365 2.20 3.40 2.70
BetVictor 2.20 3.70 2.70
Betano 2.32 3.70 2.70
Betfair 2.20 3.75 2.63
Dafabet 2.30 3.80 2.70
Marathonbet 2.20 3.64 2.61
Pinnacle 2.21 3.86 2.63
SBO 2.12 3.26 2.48
Superbet 2.32 3.70 2.70
Unibet 2.43 3.65 2.45
William Hill 2.20 3.50 2.60

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.21 ▼ -0.17
X 3.65 ▼ -0.02
2 2.65 ▲ +0.11

4 snapshots recorded, from .