Canadian Premier League
·
Full time
·Group Stage
Pacific FC
vs
Cavalry FC
0 – 1 Full time
| 15′ | E. Kobza | ||
| 28′ | R. Kratt | ||
| 30′ | T. Dunfield | ||
| 45′ | Roshawn Kadeem Delahaye JuhmiLukas Browning Lagerfeldt | ||
| 54′ | R. KrattShaan Hundal | ||
| 54′ | Aidan DanielsAlejandro Diaz | ||
| 64′ | Marco BustosM. Vales | ||
| 64′ | Caniggia ElvaRobert Owen Antoniuk | ||
| 64′ | Adam PearlmanGoteh Ntignee | ||
| 74′ | Nikolas MyroniukHassan Ayari | ||
| 81′ | Daan Klomp | ||
| 86′ | S. KeshavarzTristan Kendal Marshall |
Pacific FC
16%
Draw
21%
Cavalry FC
63%
Match stats
| 10 | Shots | 19 |
|---|---|---|
| 2 | Shots on target | 3 |
| 46 | Possession % | 54 |
| 4 | Corners | 7 |
| 16 | Fouls | 15 |
| 2 | Saves | 2 |
| 317 | Accurate passes | 368 |
Pacific FC vs Cavalry FC overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Pacific FC vs Cavalry FC
| Probability | Pacific FC | Draw | Cavalry FC |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 13.6% | 20.4% | 66.0% |
| Market | 16.3% | 21.9% | 61.8% |
| Final | 15.6% | 21.5% | 62.9% |
| Edge | -2.7% | -1.5% | +4.2% |
Why Cavalry FC
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.25 vs 0.95.
- Better recent form: 5 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
- The market prices Cavalry FC below the model: +4.2 percentage points of edge.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
95%
2+ goals
84%
3+ goals
62%
No goals
5%
Pacific FC and Cavalry FC expected goals
Pacific FC
0.95
Cavalry FC
2.25
Total expected goals: 3.20
Pacific FC and Cavalry FC attack and defence ratings
Pacific FC
Attack
0.97 -3%
Defence
1.26 +26%
Cavalry FC
Attack
1.36 +36%
Defence
0.58 -42%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Pacific FC vs Cavalry FC: result vs prediction
Pacific FC 0 – 1 Cavalry FC
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Before and after this match
Pacific FC vs Cavalry FC markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Cavalry FC | 62.9% | 1.59 | +4.2% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 62.1% | 1.61 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 55.7% | 1.80 | — | — |
| Double chance | X2 (draw or away) | 84.4% | 1.19 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Cavalry FC win | 43.5% | 2.30 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Pacific FC | 15.6% |
| Draw | 21.5% | |
| Cavalry FC | 62.9% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 62.1% |
| Under 2.5 | 37.9% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 55.7% |
| No | 44.3% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 37.1% |
| 12 (either side) | 78.5% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 84.4% | |
| Handicap -1 | Cavalry FC win | 43.5% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 22.3% | |
| Loss | 34.2% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 0-2 | 10.3% |
| 1-2 | 9.8% | |
| 1-1 | 9.6% |
Pacific FC vs Cavalry FC stats
Pacific FC and Cavalry FC recent form
| Pacific FC |
DDWLDD |
| Cavalry FC |
WWWWDW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Pacific FC and Cavalry FC going into this match
Pacific FC record
- They have won 1 of their 20 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 5 of 20 matches.
- They have converted 3 of 3 penalties (100%).
- 44% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Cavalry FC record
- They have won 14 of their 20 league games this season, scoring 2.0 goals per match.
- They average 2.3 goals per game at home against 1.7 on the road.
- They have kept 8 clean sheets in 20 matches.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 20 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- They have converted 3 of 3 penalties (100%).
Pacific FC vs Cavalry FC head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
1Pacific FC wins
2Draws
7Cavalry FC wins
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-24 | Cavalry FC | Pacific FC | Canadian Premier League | 3-0 |
| 2026-05-09 | Pacific FC | Cavalry FC | Canadian Championship | 1-3 |
| 2026-04-05 | Pacific FC | Cavalry FC | Canadian Premier League | 1-2 |
| 2025-10-05 | Pacific FC | Cavalry FC | Canadian Premier League | 3-3 |
| 2025-08-04 | Pacific FC | Cavalry FC | Canadian Premier League | 1-0 |
| 2025-06-22 | Cavalry FC | Pacific FC | Canadian Premier League | 1-0 |
| 2025-05-17 | Cavalry FC | Pacific FC | Canadian Premier League | 4-0 |
| 2024-10-05 | Pacific FC | Cavalry FC | Canadian Premier League | 1-4 |
| 2024-08-24 | Cavalry FC | Pacific FC | Canadian Premier League | 1-0 |
| 2024-06-01 | Pacific FC | Cavalry FC | Canadian Premier League | 1-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Pacific FC vs Cavalry FC odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 16.3%, draw 21.9%, away 61.8%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 5.81 | 4.10 | 1.46 |
| Bet365 | 5.25 | 3.90 | 1.48 |
| BetVictor | 5.75 | 4.20 | 1.45 |
| Betano | 5.60 | 4.30 | 1.52 |
| Betfair | 5.50 | 4.33 | 1.44 |
| Marathonbet | 5.60 | 4.10 | 1.45 |
| Pinnacle | 5.28 | 4.23 | 1.50 |
| SBO | 4.84 | 3.79 | 1.41 |
| William Hill | 5.00 | 3.80 | 1.44 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
1
5.50 ▲ +0.67
X
4.10 ▲ +0.18
2
1.45 ▼ -0.11
4 snapshots recorded, from .