York United
vs
Supra du Quebec
1 – 1 Full time
York United vs Supra du Quebec overview
Garuda Lions analysis: York United vs Supra du Quebec
| Probability | York United | Draw | Supra du Quebec |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 38.0% | 22.0% | 40.0% |
| Market | 33.9% | 25.3% | 40.8% |
| Final | 34.9% | 24.5% | 40.6% |
| Edge | +4.1% | -3.3% | -0.8% |
Why Supra du Quebec
- Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
York United and Supra du Quebec expected goals
Total expected goals: 4.05
York United and Supra du Quebec attack and defence ratings
York United
Supra du Quebec
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
York United vs Supra du Quebec: result vs prediction
York United 1 – 1 Supra du Quebec
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Before and after this match
York United vs Supra du Quebec markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Supra du Quebec | 40.6% | 2.46 | -0.8% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 76.9% | 1.30 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 76.1% | 1.31 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 75.5% | 1.32 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 60.0% | 1.67 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | York United | 34.9% |
| Draw | 24.5% | |
| Supra du Quebec | 40.6% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 76.9% |
| Under 2.5 | 23.1% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 76.1% |
| No | 23.9% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 59.4% |
| 12 (either side) | 75.5% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 65.1% | |
| Handicap -1 | Supra du Quebec win | 22.7% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 17.3% | |
| Loss | 60.0% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 7.9% |
| 1-2 | 7.3% | |
| 2-2 | 7.3% |
York United vs Supra du Quebec stats
York United and Supra du Quebec recent form
| York United |
WDLLDL |
| Supra du Quebec |
LLDWLW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
York United and Supra du Quebec going into this match
York United record
- They have won 4 of their 18 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
- They average 1.9 goals per game at home against 0.8 on the road.
Supra du Quebec record
- They have won 6 of their 19 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
- They average 1.8 goals per game on the road against 1.1 at home.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 19 matches.
- They have converted 4 of 4 penalties (100%).
- 35% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
York United vs Supra du Quebec head-to-head
Last 1 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-29 | Supra du Quebec | York United | Canadian Premier League | 3-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
York United vs Supra du Quebec odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 33.6%, draw 25.3%, away 41.1%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 2.96 | 3.50 | 2.14 |
| 1xBet | 2.67 | 3.56 | 2.24 |
| 888Sport | 2.80 | 3.25 | 2.15 |
| Bet365 | 2.70 | 3.60 | 2.20 |
| BetVictor | 2.70 | 3.70 | 2.20 |
| Betano | 2.77 | 3.65 | 2.30 |
| Betfair | 2.60 | 3.75 | 2.20 |
| Dafabet | 2.80 | 3.60 | 2.31 |
| Marathonbet | 2.62 | 3.56 | 2.22 |
| Pinnacle | 2.65 | 3.71 | 2.25 |
| SBO | 2.40 | 3.28 | 2.17 |
| Superbet | 2.77 | 3.55 | 2.32 |
| Unibet | 2.75 | 3.75 | 2.20 |
| William Hill | 2.62 | 3.30 | 2.25 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
4 snapshots recorded, from .