Garuda Lions
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Chile Primera División · Full time ·Matchday 17

Deportes Limache vs Nublense

2 – 0 Full time

1′Osvaldo Bosso
49′Daniel Castro
58′Tiago Hernández Galletto
60′Ignacio JeraldinoEsteban Calderón
60′Lucas Molina CantoIgnacio Tapia
61′Fernando OvelarMatías Plaza
69′Marcos ArturiaGonzalo Sosa
69′Hugo MartinezLeonardo Valencia
69′Pablo CalderónFranco Rami
74′Robinson Manuel Rivera ZúñigaChristian León Mansilla Rocamora
78′Christian León Mansilla Rocamora
80′Carlos Jeremy Morales GaticaCésar Fuentes
86′Osvaldo Bosso
89′Daniel CastroVicente Álvarez

Estadio Gustavo Ocaranza, LimacheReferee: Miguel Araos, Chile

Deportes Limache 40%
Draw 26%
Nublense 34%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

15 Shots 12
9 Shots on target 3
48 Possession % 52
4 Corners 5
9 Fouls 11
4 Offsides 2
3 Saves 7
284 Accurate passes 308

Deportes Limache vs Nublense overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Deportes Limache vs Nublense

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityDeportes LimacheDrawNublense
Model40.4%24.1%35.5%
Market39.9%27.0%33.1%
Final40.0%26.3%33.7%
Edge+0.5%-2.9%+2.3%

Confidence: Low

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Deportes Limac ↓ / Nublense → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 1 10% 8% 2 8% 7% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 96%
2+ goals 87%
3+ goals 68%
No goals 4%

Deportes Limache and Nublense expected goals

Deportes Limache 1.81
Nublense 1.69

Total expected goals: 3.50

Deportes Limache and Nublense attack and defence ratings

Deportes Limache

Attack 1.17 +17%
Defence 1.42 +42%

Nublense

Attack 1.03 +3%
Defence 0.98 -2%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Deportes Limache vs Nublense: result vs prediction

Deportes Limache 2 – 0 Nublense

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Before and after this match

Deportes Limache vs Nublense markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Deportes Limache 40.0% 2.50 +0.5% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 67.8% 1.47 — —
Both teams to score Yes 69.1% 1.45 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 73.7% 1.36 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 59.5% 1.68 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Deportes Limache40.0%
Draw26.3%
Nublense33.7%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.567.8%
Under 2.532.2%
Both teams to scoreYes69.1%
No30.9%
Double chance1X (home or draw)66.3%
12 (either side)73.7%
X2 (draw or away)60.0%
Handicap -1Deportes Limache win22.0%
Push (exactly one goal)18.5%
Loss59.5%
Correct score (top 3)1-110.2%
2-18.4%
1-27.8%

Deportes Limache vs Nublense stats

Deportes Limache and Nublense recent form

newest first
Deportes Limache LWLWLL
Nublense LWWDWD

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Deportes Limache and Nublense going into this match

league record before kick-off

Deportes Limache record

  • They have won 9 of their 21 league games this season, scoring 1.9 goals per match.
  • They have kept 4 clean sheets in 21 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 4 of 21 matches.
  • They have converted 3 of 4 penalties (75%).
  • 38% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Nublense record

  • They have won 8 of their 22 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
  • They have kept 7 clean sheets in 22 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 4 of 22 matches.
  • They have converted 5 of 5 penalties (100%).
  • 40% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Deportes Limache vs Nublense head-to-head

Last 3 meetings

0Deportes Limache wins 2Draws 1Nublense wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-02-08NublenseDeportes LimacheChile Primera División1-1
2025-07-25Deportes LimacheNublenseChile Primera División0-1
2025-02-22NublenseDeportes LimacheChile Primera División1-1

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Deportes Limache vs Nublense odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 39.9%, draw 27.0%, away 33.1%.

Bookmaker1X2
10Bet 2.26 3.45 2.80
1xBet 2.27 3.40 2.75
Bet365 2.35 3.40 2.75
BetVictor 2.30 3.40 2.75
Betano 2.42 3.45 2.90
Betfair 2.20 3.40 2.75
Dafabet 2.40 3.50 2.85
Marathonbet 2.38 3.38 2.76
Pinnacle 2.44 3.58 2.81
SBO 2.22 3.15 2.77
Superbet 2.32 3.40 2.80
Unibet 2.18 3.50 3.05
William Hill 2.25 3.25 2.75

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.30 ▲ +0.01
X 3.40 —
2 2.77 ▼ -0.05

6 snapshots recorded, from .