Nublense
vs
Concepción
0 – 1 Full time
Nublense vs Concepción overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Nublense vs Concepción
| Probability | Nublense | Draw | Concepción |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 37.4% | 29.2% | 33.5% |
| Market | 46.0% | 27.9% | 26.1% |
| Final | 43.8% | 28.2% | 28.0% |
| Edge | -8.6% | +1.3% | +7.4% |
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Nublense and Concepción expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.56
Nublense and Concepción attack and defence ratings
Nublense
Concepción
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Nublense vs Concepción: result vs prediction
Nublense 0 – 1 Concepción
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 21 fixtures
Before and after this match
Nublense vs Concepción markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Nublense | 43.8% | 2.28 | -8.6% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 53.0% | 1.89 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 53.3% | 1.88 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 72.0% | 1.39 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 62.7% | 1.59 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Nublense | 43.8% |
| Draw | 28.2% | |
| Concepción | 28.0% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 47.0% |
| Under 2.5 | 53.0% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 53.3% |
| No | 46.7% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 72.0% |
| 12 (either side) | 71.8% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 56.2% | |
| Handicap -1 | Nublense win | 17.4% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 19.9% | |
| Loss | 62.7% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 13.9% |
| 0-0 | 9.0% | |
| 1-0 | 9.0% |
Nublense vs Concepción stats
Nublense and Concepción recent form
| Nublense |
WWDWDW |
| Concepción |
DWWWWW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Nublense and Concepción going into this match
Nublense record
- They have won 8 of their 22 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
- They have kept 7 clean sheets in 22 matches.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 22 matches.
- They have converted 5 of 5 penalties (100%).
- 40% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Concepción record
- They have won 9 of their 21 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
- They average 1.5 goals per game at home against 0.8 on the road.
- They have kept 8 clean sheets in 21 matches.
- They have failed to score in 6 of 21 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 5 matches.
- They have converted 8 of 11 penalties (73%).
Nublense vs Concepción head-to-head
Last 1 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-06 | Concepción | Nublense | Chile Primera División | 0-2 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Nublense vs Concepción odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 46.0%, draw 27.9%, away 26.1%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 1.98 | 3.35 | 3.50 |
| 1xBet | 1.99 | 3.20 | 3.52 |
| Bet365 | 2.00 | 3.25 | 3.60 |
| Betano | 2.10 | 3.35 | 3.65 |
| Betfair | 1.95 | 3.30 | 3.40 |
| Dafabet | 2.08 | 3.35 | 3.70 |
| Marathonbet | 2.04 | 3.38 | 3.42 |
| Pinnacle | 2.10 | 3.34 | 3.57 |
| SBO | 2.06 | 2.98 | 3.04 |
| Unibet | 1.97 | 3.25 | 3.90 |
| William Hill | 2.00 | 3.10 | 3.40 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
12 snapshots recorded, from .