Cobresal
vs
Palestino
2 – 0 Full time
Cobresal vs Palestino overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Cobresal vs Palestino
| Probability | Cobresal | Draw | Palestino |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 26.4% | 25.1% | 48.5% |
| Market | 35.2% | 27.1% | 37.7% |
| Final | 33.0% | 26.6% | 40.4% |
| Edge | -8.8% | -2.0% | +10.9% |
Why Palestino
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.81 vs 1.29.
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
- The market prices Palestino below the model: +10.9 percentage points of edge.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Cobresal and Palestino expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.10
Cobresal and Palestino attack and defence ratings
Cobresal
Palestino
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Cobresal vs Palestino: result vs prediction
Cobresal 2 – 0 Palestino
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 21 fixtures
Before and after this match
Cobresal vs Palestino markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Palestino | 40.4% | 2.48 | +10.9% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 60.0% | 1.67 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 61.7% | 1.62 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 73.4% | 1.36 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 51.5% | 1.94 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Cobresal | 33.0% |
| Draw | 26.6% | |
| Palestino | 40.4% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 60.0% |
| Under 2.5 | 40.0% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 61.7% |
| No | 38.3% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 59.6% |
| 12 (either side) | 73.4% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 67.0% | |
| Handicap -1 | Palestino win | 27.4% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21.1% | |
| Loss | 51.5% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 11.6% |
| 1-2 | 9.5% | |
| 0-2 | 7.4% |
Cobresal vs Palestino stats
Cobresal and Palestino recent form
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Cobresal and Palestino going into this match
Cobresal record
- They have won 5 of their 21 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 21 matches.
- They have failed to score in 6 of 21 matches.
Palestino record
- They have won 10 of their 21 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
- They average 2.2 goals per game at home against 0.9 on the road.
- They have kept 5 clean sheets in 21 matches.
- They have failed to score in 6 of 21 matches.
- They have converted 3 of 5 penalties (60%).
Cobresal vs Palestino head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-08 | Palestino | Cobresal | Chile Primera División | 4-2 |
| 2025-09-07 | Cobresal | Palestino | Chile Primera División | 2-1 |
| 2025-02-15 | Palestino | Cobresal | Chile Primera División | 2-1 |
| 2024-08-25 | Palestino | Cobresal | Primera División | 3-0 |
| 2024-03-29 | Cobresal | Palestino | Primera División | 0-2 |
| 2023-10-01 | Cobresal | Palestino | Primera División | 2-1 |
| 2023-04-14 | Palestino | Cobresal | Primera División | 1-5 |
| 2023-03-08 | Cobresal | Palestino | CONMEBOL Sudamericana | 0-1 |
| 2022-10-30 | Cobresal | Palestino | Primera División | 1-0 |
| 2022-05-22 | Palestino | Cobresal | Primera División | 3-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Cobresal vs Palestino odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 35.2%, draw 27.1%, away 37.7%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 2.58 | 3.45 | 2.42 |
| 1xBet | 2.55 | 3.25 | 2.40 |
| Bet365 | 2.62 | 3.30 | 2.45 |
| BetVictor | 2.60 | 3.40 | 2.45 |
| Betano | 2.70 | 3.40 | 2.57 |
| Betfair | 2.55 | 3.40 | 2.40 |
| Dafabet | 2.70 | 3.50 | 2.55 |
| Marathonbet | 2.62 | 3.45 | 2.45 |
| Pinnacle | 2.71 | 3.38 | 2.57 |
| SBO | 2.45 | 3.09 | 2.38 |
| Superbet | 2.65 | 3.35 | 2.47 |
| Unibet | 2.85 | 3.50 | 2.33 |
| William Hill | 2.62 | 3.10 | 2.40 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
12 snapshots recorded, from .