Chile Primera División · Full time ·Matchday 20

O'Higgins vs Palestino

0 – 1 Full time

Estadio El Teniente, RancaguaReferee: Jose Cabero Rebolledo, Chile

O'Higgins 41%
Draw 28%
Palestino 32%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

O'Higgins vs Palestino overview

Garuda Lions analysis: O'Higgins vs Palestino

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityO'HigginsDrawPalestino
Model31.5%29.4%39.0%
Market43.6%27.3%29.1%
Final40.6%27.8%31.6%
Edge-12.1%+2.1%+10.0%

Confidence: Low

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

O'Higgins ↓ / Palestino → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 9% 10% 7% 1 8% 14% 9% 2 7% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 91%
2+ goals 73%
3+ goals 46%
No goals 9%

O'Higgins and Palestino expected goals

O'Higgins 1.17
Palestino 1.33

Total expected goals: 2.50

O'Higgins and Palestino attack and defence ratings

O'Higgins

Attack 0.84 -16%
Defence 1.04 +4%

Palestino

Attack 1.11 +11%
Defence 0.88 -12%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

O'Higgins vs Palestino: result vs prediction

O'Higgins 0 – 1 Palestino

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Matchday 20 fixtures

Chile Primera División

Before and after this match

O'Higgins vs Palestino markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 O'Higgins 40.6% 2.46 -12.1% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 54.2% 1.84 — —
Both teams to score Yes 52.1% 1.92 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 72.2% 1.39 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 68.6% 1.46 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2O'Higgins40.6%
Draw27.8%
Palestino31.6%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.545.8%
Under 2.554.2%
Both teams to scoreYes52.1%
No47.9%
Double chance1X (home or draw)68.4%
12 (either side)72.2%
X2 (draw or away)59.4%
Handicap -1O'Higgins win13.4%
Push (exactly one goal)18.0%
Loss68.6%
Correct score (top 3)1-114.0%
0-19.6%
0-09.4%

O'Higgins vs Palestino stats

O'Higgins and Palestino recent form

newest first
O'Higgins DLWWLL
Palestino WLWLWD

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

O'Higgins and Palestino going into this match

league record before kick-off

O'Higgins record

  • They have won 7 of their 21 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
  • They average 1.5 goals per game on the road against 0.9 at home.
  • They have kept 4 clean sheets in 21 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 7 of 21 matches.

Palestino record

  • They have won 10 of their 21 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
  • They average 2.2 goals per game at home against 0.9 on the road.
  • They have kept 5 clean sheets in 21 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 6 of 21 matches.
  • They have converted 3 of 5 penalties (60%).

O'Higgins vs Palestino head-to-head

Last 3 meetings

2O'Higgins wins 0Draws 1Palestino wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-02-28PalestinoO'HigginsChile Primera División4-2
2025-09-13PalestinoO'HigginsChile Primera División1-2
2025-04-20O'HigginsPalestinoChile Primera División1-0

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

O'Higgins vs Palestino odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 43.1%, draw 27.6%, away 29.3%.

Bookmaker1X2
10Bet 2.40 3.35 2.66
1xBet 2.05 3.35 3.16
888Sport 2.30 3.20 2.63
Bet365 2.10 3.40 3.20
BetVictor 2.10 3.50 3.30
Betano 2.22 3.35 3.30
Betfair 2.10 3.40 3.00
Dafabet 2.20 3.50 3.25
Marathonbet 2.11 3.44 3.18
Pinnacle 2.17 3.60 3.33
SBO 2.12 3.08 2.99
Superbet 2.17 3.35 3.15
Unibet 2.25 3.30 2.80
William Hill 2.05 3.25 3.10

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.12 ▼ -0.18
X 3.38 ▲ +0.08
2 3.17 ▲ +0.38

4 snapshots recorded, from .