Chile Primera División · Full time ·Matchday 20

Huachipato vs Deportes Limache

1 – 3 Full time

Estadio Huachipato, TalcahuanoReferee: Fernando Andre Vejar Diaz, Chile

Huachipato 37%
Draw 25%
Deportes Limache 38%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Huachipato vs Deportes Limache overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Huachipato vs Deportes Limache

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityHuachipatoDrawDeportes Limache
Model37.4%20.5%42.1%
Market37.5%26.3%36.1%
Final37.5%24.9%37.6%
Edge-0.1%-5.8%+6.0%

Confidence: Low

Why Deportes Limache

  • Better recent form: 1 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
  • The market prices Deportes Limache below the model: +6.0 percentage points of edge.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Huachipato ↓ / Deportes Limac → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 1 6% 7% 5% 5% 2 6% 7% 5% 5% 3 4% 5% 4% 4% 4+ 4% 5% 4% 4%

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 98%
2+ goals 94%
3+ goals 83%
No goals 2%

Huachipato and Deportes Limache expected goals

Huachipato 2.19
Deportes Limache 2.31

Total expected goals: 4.50

Huachipato and Deportes Limache attack and defence ratings

Huachipato

Attack 0.98 -2%
Defence 1.65 +65%

Deportes Limache

Attack 1.24 +24%
Defence 1.40 +40%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Huachipato vs Deportes Limache: result vs prediction

Huachipato 1 – 3 Deportes Limache

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Matchday 20 fixtures

Chile Primera División

Before and after this match

Huachipato vs Deportes Limache markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Deportes Limache 37.6% 2.66 +6.0% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 82.6% 1.21 — —
Both teams to score Yes 80.5% 1.24 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 75.1% 1.33 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 57.9% 1.73 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Huachipato37.5%
Draw24.9%
Deportes Limache37.6%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.582.6%
Under 2.517.4%
Both teams to scoreYes80.5%
No19.5%
Double chance1X (home or draw)62.4%
12 (either side)75.1%
X2 (draw or away)62.5%
Handicap -1Deportes Limache win25.1%
Push (exactly one goal)17.0%
Loss57.9%
Correct score (top 3)2-27.1%
1-26.5%
1-16.2%

Huachipato vs Deportes Limache stats

Huachipato and Deportes Limache recent form

newest first

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Huachipato and Deportes Limache going into this match

league record before kick-off

Huachipato record

  • They have won 7 of their 20 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
  • They average 2.1 goals per game at home against 0.8 on the road.
  • They have kept 3 clean sheets in 20 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 7 of 20 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
  • They have converted 2 of 3 penalties (67%).
  • 47% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Deportes Limache record

  • They have won 9 of their 21 league games this season, scoring 1.9 goals per match.
  • They have kept 4 clean sheets in 21 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 4 of 21 matches.
  • They have converted 3 of 4 penalties (75%).
  • 38% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Huachipato vs Deportes Limache head-to-head

Last 3 meetings

2Huachipato wins 0Draws 1Deportes Limache wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-02-28Deportes LimacheHuachipatoChile Primera División3-0
2025-08-17HuachipatoDeportes LimacheChile Primera División4-0
2025-03-14Deportes LimacheHuachipatoChile Primera División2-3

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Huachipato vs Deportes Limache odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 38.0%, draw 26.3%, away 35.7%.

Bookmaker1X2
10Bet 2.26 3.55 2.75
1xBet 2.40 3.50 2.45
888Sport 2.25 3.40 2.63
Bet365 2.60 3.40 2.60
BetVictor 2.50 3.60 2.55
Betano 2.57 3.55 2.62
Betfair 2.40 3.60 2.45
Dafabet 2.55 3.60 2.65
Marathonbet 2.48 3.58 2.52
Pinnacle 2.56 3.82 2.59
SBO 2.40 3.28 2.45
Superbet 2.47 3.40 2.60
Unibet 2.28 3.45 2.70
William Hill 2.40 3.40 2.45

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.48 ▲ +0.05
X 3.52 ▲ +0.02
2 2.57 ▼ -0.02

2 snapshots recorded, from .