Universidad de Chile
vs
Colo Colo
1 – 2 Full time
Universidad de Chile vs Colo Colo overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Universidad de Chile vs Colo Colo
| Probability | Universidad de Chile | Draw | Colo Colo |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 49.7% | 25.0% | 25.3% |
| Market | 41.5% | 26.9% | 31.6% |
| Final | 43.5% | 26.4% | 30.0% |
| Edge | +8.3% | -1.9% | -6.3% |
Why Universidad de Chile
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.83 vs 1.26.
- The market prices Universidad de Chile below the model: +8.3 percentage points of edge.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Universidad de Chile and Colo Colo expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.09
Universidad de Chile and Colo Colo attack and defence ratings
Universidad de Chile
Colo Colo
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Universidad de Chile vs Colo Colo: result vs prediction
Universidad de Chile 1 – 2 Colo Colo
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 20 fixtures
Before and after this match
Universidad de Chile vs Colo Colo markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Universidad de Chile | 43.5% | 2.30 | +8.3% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 59.6% | 1.68 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 61.2% | 1.63 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 73.6% | 1.36 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 50.4% | 1.98 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Universidad de Chile | 43.5% |
| Draw | 26.4% | |
| Colo Colo | 30.0% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 59.6% |
| Under 2.5 | 40.4% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 61.2% |
| No | 38.8% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 70.0% |
| 12 (either side) | 73.6% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 56.5% | |
| Handicap -1 | Universidad de Chile win | 28.2% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21.4% | |
| Loss | 50.4% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 11.5% |
| 2-1 | 9.6% | |
| 2-0 | 7.6% |
Universidad de Chile vs Colo Colo stats
Universidad de Chile and Colo Colo recent form
| Universidad de Chile |
WWWWWD |
| Colo Colo |
DWWWWW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Universidad de Chile and Colo Colo going into this match
Universidad de Chile record
- They have won 10 of their 21 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
- They average 1.7 goals per game at home against 1.0 on the road.
- They have kept 9 clean sheets in 21 matches.
- They have failed to score in 5 of 21 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 5 matches.
Colo Colo record
- They have won 17 of their 21 league games this season, scoring 2.2 goals per match.
- They have kept 7 clean sheets in 21 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 9 matches.
- They have converted 5 of 6 penalties (83%).
- 35% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Universidad de Chile vs Colo Colo head-to-head
Last 3 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-01 | Colo Colo | Universidad de Chile | Chile Primera División | 0-1 |
| 2025-08-31 | Colo Colo | Universidad de Chile | Chile Primera División | 1-0 |
| 2025-07-12 | Universidad de Chile | Colo Colo | Chile Primera División | 2-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Universidad de Chile vs Colo Colo odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 41.1%, draw 27.1%, away 31.8%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 2.28 | 3.35 | 2.84 |
| 1xBet | 2.14 | 3.45 | 2.91 |
| 888Sport | 2.30 | 3.10 | 2.75 |
| Bet365 | 2.15 | 3.60 | 3.00 |
| BetVictor | 2.20 | 3.40 | 3.10 |
| Betano | 2.30 | 3.70 | 2.90 |
| Betfair | 2.20 | 3.40 | 2.80 |
| Dafabet | 2.30 | 3.55 | 3.00 |
| Marathonbet | 2.23 | 3.42 | 2.95 |
| Pinnacle | 2.28 | 3.66 | 3.06 |
| SBO | 2.18 | 3.17 | 2.81 |
| Superbet | 2.25 | 3.40 | 2.90 |
| Unibet | 2.30 | 3.20 | 2.80 |
| William Hill | 2.15 | 3.25 | 2.90 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
4 snapshots recorded, from .