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Costa Rica Primera División · Full time ·Apertura - 8

Inter San Carlos vs Puntarenas FC

1 – 1 Full time

11′D. Castrillo
46′J. AriasA. Rodriguez Elizondo
46′E. TorresK. Porras
56′C. Villegas SequeiraR. Chirino
58′K. E. Cabezas RodriguezR. Taylor
60′W. Azofeifa
61′W. AzofeifaF. Aleman
64′A. Sinclair
64′A. Sinclair
67′D. RodriguezR. Cole
67′D. CastrilloV. Edghill
67′P. AlvarezU. Segura
70′R. VegaJ. Sanchez
78′R. Cole
81′Y. TejedaW. Hernandez
85′A. Pineda
89′W. Decas
90′J. Perez

Estadio de Pital, PitalReferee: K. Herrera

Inter San Carlos 51%
Draw 26%
Puntarenas FC 23%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Inter San Carlos vs Puntarenas FC overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Inter San Carlos vs Puntarenas FC

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityInter San CarlosDrawPuntarenas FC
Model60.4%24.5%15.0%
Market47.8%27.0%25.2%
Final50.9%26.4%22.7%
Edge+12.6%-2.5%-10.2%

Confidence: Low

Why Inter San Carlos

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.82 vs 0.81.
  • Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
  • The market prices Inter San Carlos below the model: +12.6 percentage points of edge.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Inter San Carl ↓ / Puntarenas FC → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 8% 1 12% 12% 2 12% 10% 3 7% 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 92%
2+ goals 75%
3+ goals 49%
No goals 8%

Inter San Carlos and Puntarenas FC expected goals

Inter San Carlos 1.82
Puntarenas FC 0.81

Total expected goals: 2.63

Inter San Carlos and Puntarenas FC attack and defence ratings

Inter San Carlos

Attack 0.96 -4%
Defence 0.78 -22%

Puntarenas FC

Attack 0.94 -6%
Defence 1.40 +40%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Inter San Carlos vs Puntarenas FC: result vs prediction

Inter San Carlos 1 – 1 Puntarenas FC

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Apertura - 8 fixtures

Costa Rica Primera División

Before and after this match

Inter San Carlos vs Puntarenas FC markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Inter San Carlos 50.9% 1.96 +12.6% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 51.2% 1.95 — —
Both teams to score No 52.6% 1.90 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 77.3% 1.29 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 39.6% 2.53 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Inter San Carlos50.9%
Draw26.4%
Puntarenas FC22.7%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.548.8%
Under 2.551.2%
Both teams to scoreYes47.4%
No52.6%
Double chance1X (home or draw)77.3%
12 (either side)73.6%
X2 (draw or away)49.1%
Handicap -1Inter San Carlos win36.0%
Push (exactly one goal)24.4%
Loss39.6%
Correct score (top 3)1-012.1%
2-012.0%
1-111.7%

Inter San Carlos vs Puntarenas FC stats

Inter San Carlos and Puntarenas FC recent form

newest first
Inter San Carlos WLWWWD
Puntarenas FC LWWLLD

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Inter San Carlos and Puntarenas FC going into this match

league record before kick-off

Inter San Carlos record

  • They have won 4 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
  • They have kept 4 clean sheets in 7 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
  • 44% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Puntarenas FC record

  • They have won 2 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
  • They average 1.3 goals per game on the road against 0.8 at home.

Inter San Carlos vs Puntarenas FC head-to-head

No recent meetings on record

Our head-to-head history covers these clubs' top-flight matches from 2014 onwards — these two simply haven't crossed paths in that window (newly promoted sides and cross-division pairings are the usual reason). The prediction doesn't rely on H2H: it is built from each team's current expected-goals ratings.

Inter San Carlos vs Puntarenas FC odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 47.8%, draw 27.0%, away 25.2%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 1.89 3.36 3.67
Bet365 1.83 3.25 3.70
BetVictor 1.87 3.40 3.75
Betano 1.98 3.40 3.60
Betfair 1.91 3.50 3.40
Marathonbet 1.87 3.36 3.60
Pinnacle 1.93 3.62 3.83
SBO 1.90 3.15 3.28
William Hill 1.91 3.20 3.40

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 1.90 ▲ +0.02
X 3.36 ▼ -0.02
2 3.60 ▼ -0.02

5 snapshots recorded, from .