Costa Rica Primera División
·
Full time
·Apertura - 8
CS Cartagines
vs
LD Alajuelense
3 – 1 Full time
| 12′ | C. Montero | ||
| 22′ | F. Samadian | ||
| 28′ | J. GaeteM. Moran | ||
| 34′ | C. Montero | ||
| 40′ | Y. Lopez | ||
| 46′ | Y. MolinaR. Cisneros | ||
| 46′ | J. RuizJ. Lucumi | ||
| 46′ | Y. LopezC. Barahona | ||
| 62′ | L. Diaz | ||
| 63′ | A. HernandezB. Alfaro | ||
| 63′ | R. WilsonJuanpi | ||
| 63′ | A. ZaldivarD. Aguilar | ||
| 63′ | L. DiazK. Michel | ||
| 70′ | R. Matarrita | ||
| 72′ | D. Lopez | ||
| 74′ | R. Cisneros | ||
| 82′ | D. LopezD. Gonzalez Hernandez | ||
| 82′ | TepaL. A. Olivas Salcedo |
CS Cartagines
43%
Draw
29%
LD Alajuelense
28%
CS Cartagines vs LD Alajuelense overview
Garuda Lions analysis: CS Cartagines vs LD Alajuelense
| Probability | CS Cartagines | Draw | LD Alajuelense |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 50.7% | 25.6% | 23.7% |
| Market | 40.9% | 30.0% | 29.0% |
| Final | 43.4% | 28.9% | 27.7% |
| Edge | +9.8% | -4.4% | -5.3% |
Why CS Cartagines
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.77 vs 1.15.
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 3 for the opposition.
- The market prices CS Cartagines below the model: +9.8 percentage points of edge.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
93%
2+ goals
80%
3+ goals
56%
No goals
7%
CS Cartagines and LD Alajuelense expected goals
CS Cartagines
1.77
LD Alajuelense
1.15
Total expected goals: 2.91
CS Cartagines and LD Alajuelense attack and defence ratings
CS Cartagines
Attack
1.43 +43%
Defence
0.91 -9%
LD Alajuelense
Attack
1.13 +13%
Defence
0.91 -9%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
CS Cartagines vs LD Alajuelense: result vs prediction
CS Cartagines 3 – 1 LD Alajuelense
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Apertura - 8 fixtures
Before and after this match
CS Cartagines vs LD Alajuelense markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | CS Cartagines | 43.4% | 2.31 | +9.8% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 55.9% | 1.79 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 57.9% | 1.73 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 72.3% | 1.38 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 49.2% | 2.03 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | CS Cartagines | 43.4% |
| Draw | 28.9% | |
| LD Alajuelense | 27.7% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 55.9% |
| Under 2.5 | 44.1% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 57.9% |
| No | 42.1% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 72.3% |
| 12 (either side) | 71.1% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 56.6% | |
| Handicap -1 | CS Cartagines win | 28.7% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 22.1% | |
| Loss | 49.2% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 12.1% |
| 2-1 | 9.7% | |
| 1-0 | 8.4% |
CS Cartagines vs LD Alajuelense stats
CS Cartagines and LD Alajuelense recent form
| CS Cartagines |
WWWLWL |
| LD Alajuelense |
LDLWWW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
CS Cartagines and LD Alajuelense going into this match
CS Cartagines record
- They have won 5 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 2.1 goals per match.
LD Alajuelense record
- They have won 3 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
- They average 1.7 goals per game on the road against 1.0 at home.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
CS Cartagines vs LD Alajuelense head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
2CS Cartagines wins
3Draws
5LD Alajuelense wins
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-04 | LD Alajuelense | CS Cartagines | Costa Rica Primera División | 2-0 |
| 2026-01-22 | CS Cartagines | LD Alajuelense | Costa Rica Primera División | 1-0 |
| 2025-11-30 | CS Cartagines | LD Alajuelense | Costa Rica Primera División | 0-2 |
| 2025-11-21 | LD Alajuelense | CS Cartagines | Costa Rica Primera División | 0-0 |
| 2025-03-16 | CS Cartagines | LD Alajuelense | Primera División | 1-1 |
| 2025-02-03 | LD Alajuelense | CS Cartagines | Primera División | 1-0 |
| 2024-09-22 | LD Alajuelense | CS Cartagines | Primera División | 2-1 |
| 2024-08-04 | CS Cartagines | LD Alajuelense | Primera División | 0-1 |
| 2024-04-06 | CS Cartagines | LD Alajuelense | Primera División | 0-0 |
| 2024-01-28 | LD Alajuelense | CS Cartagines | Primera División | 0-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
CS Cartagines vs LD Alajuelense odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 40.7%, draw 29.9%, away 29.4%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.24 | 2.83 | 3.34 |
| 888Sport | 2.20 | 3.00 | 2.90 |
| Bet365 | 2.15 | 3.10 | 2.90 |
| BetVictor | 2.20 | 3.25 | 3.00 |
| Betano | 2.27 | 3.15 | 3.15 |
| Betfair | 2.15 | 3.10 | 3.10 |
| Marathonbet | 2.22 | 2.83 | 3.26 |
| Pinnacle | 2.34 | 2.90 | 3.61 |
| SBO | 2.11 | 2.96 | 2.78 |
| William Hill | 2.20 | 3.00 | 2.90 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
1
2.20 ▼ -0.10
X
3.00 ▲ +0.22
2
3.10 ▼ -0.14
14 snapshots recorded, from .