Costa Rica Primera División · 2026-09-06T02:00:00Z UTC Full time ·Apertura - 7

LD Alajuelense vs Deportivo Saprissa

0 – 2 Full time

45′			O. Sinclair
52′			S. Acuna
53′			S. Taylor
56′			J. RuizF. Pinar
56′			C. PerezA. Hernandez
56′			R. ParkinsE. Cruz
58′			R. Matarrita
59′			S. TaylorG. G. Taylor Dosman
60′			G. Torres
63′			J. M. Azofeifa Rivas
72′			D. GuzmanS. Padilla
72′			G. TorresK. Arboine
79′			A. SalazarD. Aguilar
79′			K. MichelK. McDonald
81′			K. McDonald
83′			L. ParadelaJ. Carvajal
83′			O. SinclairA. Rodriguez
86′			K. McDonald
86′			K. McDonald

Estadio Alejandro Morera Soto, AlajuelaReferee: J. Calderon

LD Alajuelense

38%

Draw

29%

Deportivo Saprissa

33%

Confidence: Low · blended with market odds

LD Alajuelense vs Deportivo Saprissa overview

Garuda Lions analysis: LD Alajuelense vs Deportivo Saprissa

model vs market on the 1X2

Probability	LD Alajuelense	Draw	Deportivo Saprissa
Model	39.5%	27.4%	33.1%
Market	37.0%	29.9%	33.1%
Final	37.7%	29.3%	33.1%
Edge	+2.5%	-2.5%	-0.0%

Confidence: Low

Why LD Alajuelense

The market prices LD Alajuelense below the model: +2.5 percentage points of edge.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals

93%

2+ goals

79%

3+ goals

54%

No goals

LD Alajuelense and Deportivo Saprissa expected goals

LD Alajuelense

1.48

Deportivo Saprissa

1.35

Total expected goals: 2.83

LD Alajuelense and Deportivo Saprissa attack and defence ratings

LD Alajuelense

Attack

1.27 +27%

Defence

0.82 -18%

Deportivo Saprissa

Attack

1.51 +51%

Defence

0.85 -15%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

LD Alajuelense vs Deportivo Saprissa: result vs prediction

LD Alajuelense 0 – 2 Deportivo Saprissa

Market	Outcome
1X2 pick	✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick	✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick	✗ Incorrect

Other Apertura - 7 fixtures

Costa Rica Primera División

Escorpiones Belén vs Inter San Carlos — team news & stats · 2026-09-05
CS Herediano v Perez Zeledon — match page · 2026-09-05
Puntarenas FC v CS Cartagines — match page · 2026-09-06
San Carlos vs Sporting San Jose · 2026-09-07

Before and after this match

LD Alajuelense, previous: Perez Zeledon vs LD Alajuelense: odds and pick
LD Alajuelense, next: CS Cartagines – LD Alajuelense, 2026-09-14
Deportivo Saprissa, previous: Deportivo Saprissa v Escorpiones Belén analysis
Deportivo Saprissa, next: Sporting San Jose v Deportivo Saprissa analysis

LD Alajuelense vs Deportivo Saprissa markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market

Market	Model pick	Probability	Fair odds	Edge	Best price
1X2	LD Alajuelense	37.7%	2.66	+2.5%	—
Over/Under 2.5	Over 2.5	53.8%	1.86	—	—
Both teams to score	Yes	58.4%	1.71	—	—
Double chance	12 (either side)	70.7%	1.41	—	—
Handicap -1	Loss	60.7%	1.65	—	—

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid

Market	Selection	Probability
1X2	LD Alajuelense	37.7%
	Draw	29.3%
	Deportivo Saprissa	33.1%
Over/Under 2.5	Over 2.5	53.8%
	Under 2.5	46.2%
Both teams to score	Yes	58.4%
	No	41.6%
Double chance	1X (home or draw)	66.9%
	12 (either side)	70.7%
	X2 (draw or away)	62.3%
Handicap -1	LD Alajuelense win	19.6%
	Push (exactly one goal)	19.8%
	Loss	60.7%
Correct score (top 3)	1-1	13.0%
	2-1	8.8%
	1-2	7.9%

LD Alajuelense vs Deportivo Saprissa stats

LD Alajuelense and Deportivo Saprissa recent form

newest first

LD Alajuelense	DLWWWD
Deportivo Saprissa	WLWWWW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

LD Alajuelense and Deportivo Saprissa going into this match

league record before kick-off

LD Alajuelense record

They have won 3 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.

Deportivo Saprissa record

They have won 5 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 2.3 goals per match.
Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.

LD Alajuelense vs Deportivo Saprissa head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

4LD Alajuelense wins 5Draws 1Deportivo Saprissa wins

Date	Home	Away	Competition	Score
2026-04-19	LD Alajuelense	Deportivo Saprissa	Costa Rica Primera División	1-1
2026-02-22	Deportivo Saprissa	LD Alajuelense	Costa Rica Primera División	2-1
2025-12-21	LD Alajuelense	Deportivo Saprissa	Costa Rica Primera División	3-1
2025-12-18	Deportivo Saprissa	LD Alajuelense	Costa Rica Primera División	2-2
2025-10-20	LD Alajuelense	Deportivo Saprissa	Costa Rica Primera División	2-0
2025-08-31	Deportivo Saprissa	LD Alajuelense	Costa Rica Primera División	0-1
2025-05-22	LD Alajuelense	Deportivo Saprissa	Primera División	1-0
2025-05-18	Deportivo Saprissa	LD Alajuelense	Primera División	3-3
2025-04-22	LD Alajuelense	Deportivo Saprissa	Primera División	1-1
2025-02-09	Deportivo Saprissa	LD Alajuelense	Primera División	1-1

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

LD Alajuelense vs Deportivo Saprissa odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 38.0%, draw 29.4%, away 32.6%.

Bookmaker	1	X	2
1xBet	2.46	2.88	2.80
Bet365	2.45	3.20	2.50
BetVictor	2.40	3.25	2.70
Betano	2.32	3.15	3.00
Betfair	2.40	3.00	2.88
Dafabet	2.35	3.15	2.95
Marathonbet	2.46	2.88	2.80
Pinnacle	2.58	2.98	3.02
SBO	2.12	2.99	2.74
Superbet	2.35	3.15	2.95
Unibet	2.32	3.10	2.80
William Hill	2.45	3.10	2.50

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.46 ▲ +0.14

X 3.04 ▼ -0.06

2 2.75 ▼ -0.13

4 snapshots recorded, from 2026-09-04T08:10:01Z.