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Costa Rica Primera División · Full time ·Apertura - 6

Deportivo Saprissa vs Escorpiones Belén

2 – 1 Full time

34′G. Torres
39′A. Soto
41′K. WastonF. Escobar
46′A. HidalgoE. Morales
46′A. FernandezJ. Serrano
48′N. WilliamsO. Sinclair
55′A. Soto
58′C. Munoz
59′N. MongeR. Pena
67′R. LopezR. Montiel
70′M. Torres
75′S. TaylorG. G. Taylor Dosman
75′A. SotoA. Rodriguez
78′G. TorresK. Arboine
82′J. CamarenoE. Arias
90′F. Chaves

Referee: A. Chinchilla

Deportivo Saprissa 76%
Draw 16%
Escorpiones Belén 8%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Deportivo Saprissa vs Escorpiones Belén overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Deportivo Saprissa vs Escorpiones Belén

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityDeportivo SaprissaDrawEscorpiones Belén
Model80.5%13.6%5.8%
Market74.4%16.5%9.1%
Final75.9%15.8%8.3%
Edge+6.1%-2.9%-3.2%

Confidence: Low

Why Deportivo Saprissa

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.78 vs 0.68.
  • Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
  • The market prices Deportivo Saprissa below the model: +6.1 percentage points of edge.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Deportivo Sapr ↓ / Escorpiones Be → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 1 8% 2 12% 8% 3 11% 4+ 15% 10%

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 96%
2+ goals 87%
3+ goals 67%
No goals 4%

Deportivo Saprissa and Escorpiones Belén expected goals

Deportivo Saprissa 2.78
Escorpiones Belén 0.68

Total expected goals: 3.46

Deportivo Saprissa and Escorpiones Belén attack and defence ratings

Deportivo Saprissa

Attack 1.54 +54%
Defence 0.85 -15%

Escorpiones Belén

Attack 0.74 -26%
Defence 1.32 +32%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Deportivo Saprissa vs Escorpiones Belén: result vs prediction

Deportivo Saprissa 2 – 1 Escorpiones Belén

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Apertura - 6 fixtures

Costa Rica Primera División

Before and after this match

Deportivo Saprissa vs Escorpiones Belén markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Deportivo Saprissa 75.9% 1.32 +6.1% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 67.3% 1.49 — —
Both teams to score No 53.2% 1.88 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 91.7% 1.09 — —
Handicap -1 Deportivo Saprissa win 60.9% 1.64 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Deportivo Saprissa75.9%
Draw15.8%
Escorpiones Belén8.3%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.567.3%
Under 2.532.7%
Both teams to scoreYes46.8%
No53.2%
Double chance1X (home or draw)91.7%
12 (either side)84.2%
X2 (draw or away)24.1%
Handicap -1Deportivo Saprissa win60.9%
Push (exactly one goal)19.4%
Loss19.6%
Correct score (top 3)2-012.1%
3-011.3%
2-18.2%

Deportivo Saprissa vs Escorpiones Belén stats

Deportivo Saprissa and Escorpiones Belén recent form

newest first
Deportivo Saprissa LWWWWL
Escorpiones Belén LLDL

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Deportivo Saprissa and Escorpiones Belén going into this match

league record before kick-off

Deportivo Saprissa record

  • They have won 5 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 2.3 goals per match.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.

Escorpiones Belén record

  • They have won 0 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 0.6 goals per match.

Deportivo Saprissa vs Escorpiones Belén head-to-head

No recent meetings on record

Our head-to-head history covers these clubs' top-flight matches from 2014 onwards — these two simply haven't crossed paths in that window (newly promoted sides and cross-division pairings are the usual reason). The prediction doesn't rely on H2H: it is built from each team's current expected-goals ratings.

Deportivo Saprissa vs Escorpiones Belén odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 74.4%, draw 16.5%, away 9.1%.

Bookmaker1X2
10Bet 1.22 5.10 12.00
1xBet 1.22 5.35 10.70
Bet365 1.22 5.00 10.00
BetVictor 1.22 5.50 11.00
Betano 1.26 5.50 10.00
Betfair 1.18 5.50 10.50
Dafabet 1.23 5.80 10.00
Marathonbet 1.21 5.35 10.25
Pinnacle 1.25 5.95 10.23
SBO 1.20 5.22 8.49
Superbet 1.23 5.80 9.40
Unibet 1.22 5.50 9.00
William Hill 1.22 5.00 9.50

Odds movement

Only one odds snapshot recorded so far — movement needs at least two.