Costa Rica Primera División
·
Full time
·Apertura - 5
Escorpiones Belén
vs
CS Cartagines
1 – 4 Full time
Escorpiones Belén
30%
Draw
29%
CS Cartagines
42%
Escorpiones Belén vs CS Cartagines overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Escorpiones Belén vs CS Cartagines
| Probability | Escorpiones Belén | Draw | CS Cartagines |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 28.1% | 29.8% | 42.1% |
| Market | 30.0% | 28.4% | 41.6% |
| Final | 29.5% | 28.8% | 41.7% |
| Edge | -1.9% | +1.4% | +0.5% |
Why CS Cartagines
- Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
90%
2+ goals
71%
3+ goals
43%
No goals
10%
Escorpiones Belén and CS Cartagines expected goals
Escorpiones Belén
1.06
CS Cartagines
1.35
Total expected goals: 2.41
Escorpiones Belén and CS Cartagines attack and defence ratings
Escorpiones Belén
Attack
0.72 -28%
Defence
1.03 +3%
CS Cartagines
Attack
1.22 +22%
Defence
1.06 +6%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Escorpiones Belén vs CS Cartagines: result vs prediction
Escorpiones Belén 1 – 4 CS Cartagines
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Apertura - 5 fixtures
Before and after this match
Escorpiones Belén vs CS Cartagines markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | CS Cartagines | 41.7% | 2.40 | +0.5% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 56.7% | 1.76 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 50.3% | 1.99 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 71.2% | 1.40 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 57.9% | 1.73 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Escorpiones Belén | 29.5% |
| Draw | 28.8% | |
| CS Cartagines | 41.7% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 43.3% |
| Under 2.5 | 56.7% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 49.7% |
| No | 50.3% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 58.3% |
| 12 (either side) | 71.2% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 70.5% | |
| Handicap -1 | CS Cartagines win | 20.3% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21.9% | |
| Loss | 57.9% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 14.1% |
| 0-1 | 10.8% | |
| 0-0 | 10.3% |
Escorpiones Belén vs CS Cartagines stats
Escorpiones Belén and CS Cartagines recent form
| Escorpiones Belén |
LDL |
| CS Cartagines |
LWLWDL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 3 completed matches.
Escorpiones Belén and CS Cartagines going into this match
Escorpiones Belén record
- They have won 0 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 0.6 goals per match.
CS Cartagines record
- They have won 4 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 2.0 goals per match.
Escorpiones Belén vs CS Cartagines head-to-head
No recent meetings on record
Escorpiones Belén vs CS Cartagines odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 30.0%, draw 28.4%, away 41.6%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 3.11 | 3.08 | 2.21 |
| Bet365 | 2.90 | 3.25 | 2.15 |
| BetVictor | 3.00 | 3.25 | 2.20 |
| Betano | 3.10 | 3.25 | 2.22 |
| Betfair | 3.00 | 3.30 | 2.10 |
| Dafabet | 3.10 | 3.25 | 2.21 |
| Marathonbet | 3.05 | 3.08 | 2.19 |
| Pinnacle | 3.23 | 3.22 | 2.33 |
| Superbet | 3.15 | 3.20 | 2.22 |
| Unibet | 3.05 | 3.15 | 2.12 |
| William Hill | 3.00 | 2.90 | 2.20 |