Garuda Lions
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Costa Rica Primera División · Full time ·Apertura - 6

CS Cartagines vs CS Herediano

1 – 0 Full time

44′A. Hernandez
46′R. CorderoJ. Cortes
46′K. EstradaR. Araya
46′K. FullerA. Hudson
51′G. Montes
51′C. Montero
56′G. MontesA. Cruz
59′E. Juarez
60′C. MonteroJ. Gaete
64′E. JuarezA. Murillo
69′G. M. MoreraB. Alfaro
73′M. Moran
78′A. HernandezL. A. Olivas Salcedo
78′M. MoranG. Castro
82′H. QuirosR. Leal
86′Tepa

Referee: K. Herrera

CS Cartagines 50%
Draw 28%
CS Herediano 22%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

CS Cartagines vs CS Herediano overview

Garuda Lions analysis: CS Cartagines vs CS Herediano

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityCS CartaginesDrawCS Herediano
Model63.5%23.4%13.0%
Market45.1%29.8%25.2%
Final49.7%28.2%22.1%
Edge+18.5%-6.4%-12.1%

Confidence: Low

Why CS Cartagines

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.90 vs 0.75.
  • Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
  • The market prices CS Cartagines below the model: +18.5 percentage points of edge.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

CS Cartagines ↓ / CS Herediano → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 8% 1 12% 11% 2 13% 10% 3 8% 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 92%
2+ goals 75%
3+ goals 49%
No goals 8%

CS Cartagines and CS Herediano expected goals

CS Cartagines 1.90
CS Herediano 0.75

Total expected goals: 2.65

CS Cartagines and CS Herediano attack and defence ratings

CS Cartagines

Attack 1.43 +43%
Defence 1.03 +3%

CS Herediano

Attack 0.67 -33%
Defence 0.96 -4%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

CS Cartagines vs CS Herediano: result vs prediction

CS Cartagines 1 – 0 CS Herediano

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Apertura - 6 fixtures

Costa Rica Primera División

Before and after this match

CS Cartagines vs CS Herediano markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 CS Cartagines 49.7% 2.01 +18.5% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 50.8% 1.97 — —
Both teams to score No 54.3% 1.84 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 77.9% 1.28 — —
Handicap -1 CS Cartagines win 39.2% 2.55 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2CS Cartagines49.7%
Draw28.2%
CS Herediano22.1%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.549.2%
Under 2.550.8%
Both teams to scoreYes45.7%
No54.3%
Double chance1X (home or draw)77.9%
12 (either side)71.8%
X2 (draw or away)50.3%
Handicap -1CS Cartagines win39.2%
Push (exactly one goal)24.6%
Loss36.3%
Correct score (top 3)2-012.8%
1-012.5%
1-111.1%

CS Cartagines vs CS Herediano stats

CS Cartagines and CS Herediano recent form

newest first
CS Cartagines WLWLWD
CS Herediano LLLDDW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

CS Cartagines and CS Herediano going into this match

league record before kick-off

CS Cartagines record

  • They have won 4 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 2.0 goals per match.

CS Herediano record

  • They have won 0 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 0.3 goals per match.
  • They have failed to score in 4 of 6 matches.

CS Cartagines vs CS Herediano head-to-head

Last 6 meetings

1CS Cartagines wins 1Draws 4CS Herediano wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-05-10CS HeredianoCS CartaginesCosta Rica Primera División0-0
2026-05-03CS CartaginesCS HeredianoCosta Rica Primera División0-1
2026-04-11CS CartaginesCS HeredianoCosta Rica Primera División1-2
2026-02-15CS HeredianoCS CartaginesCosta Rica Primera División1-0
2025-10-26CS HeredianoCS CartaginesCosta Rica Primera División2-1
2025-09-11CS CartaginesCS HeredianoCosta Rica Primera División2-0

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

CS Cartagines vs CS Herediano odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 45.1%, draw 29.8%, away 25.2%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 2.03 3.04 3.60
Betano 2.10 3.10 3.60
Betfair 2.00 3.10 3.50
Marathonbet 2.01 3.04 3.52
Pinnacle 2.11 3.10 3.70
SBO 1.97 2.90 3.16
William Hill 2.00 2.88 3.60

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.01 ▼ -0.08
X 3.04 ▼ -0.06
2 3.60 ▲ +0.29

10 snapshots recorded, from .