Perez Zeledon
vs
LD Alajuelense
1 – 1 Full time
Perez Zeledon vs LD Alajuelense overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Perez Zeledon vs LD Alajuelense
| Probability | Perez Zeledon | Draw | LD Alajuelense |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 14.4% | 25.4% | 60.2% |
| Market | 23.0% | 26.8% | 50.2% |
| Final | 20.9% | 26.5% | 52.7% |
| Edge | -8.6% | -1.4% | +10.0% |
Why LD Alajuelense
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.72 vs 0.74.
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
- The market prices LD Alajuelense below the model: +10.0 percentage points of edge.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Perez Zeledon and LD Alajuelense expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.46
Perez Zeledon and LD Alajuelense attack and defence ratings
Perez Zeledon
LD Alajuelense
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Perez Zeledon vs LD Alajuelense: result vs prediction
Perez Zeledon 1 – 1 LD Alajuelense
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Apertura - 6 fixtures
Before and after this match
Perez Zeledon vs LD Alajuelense markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | LD Alajuelense | 52.7% | 1.90 | +10.0% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 55.3% | 1.81 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 56.2% | 1.78 | — | — |
| Double chance | X2 (draw or away) | 79.1% | 1.26 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 40.0% | 2.50 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Perez Zeledon | 20.9% |
| Draw | 26.5% | |
| LD Alajuelense | 52.7% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 44.7% |
| Under 2.5 | 55.3% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 43.8% |
| No | 56.2% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 47.3% |
| 12 (either side) | 73.5% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 79.1% | |
| Handicap -1 | LD Alajuelense win | 34.8% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 25.2% | |
| Loss | 40.0% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 0-1 | 13.6% |
| 0-2 | 12.7% | |
| 1-1 | 11.9% |
Perez Zeledon vs LD Alajuelense stats
Perez Zeledon and LD Alajuelense recent form
| Perez Zeledon |
LLDWLD |
| LD Alajuelense |
LWWWDL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Perez Zeledon and LD Alajuelense going into this match
Perez Zeledon record
- They have won 2 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 0.9 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 7 matches.
- 36% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
LD Alajuelense record
- They have won 3 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
Perez Zeledon vs LD Alajuelense head-to-head
Last 4 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-14 | LD Alajuelense | Perez Zeledon | Costa Rica Primera División | 3-0 |
| 2026-01-18 | Perez Zeledon | LD Alajuelense | Costa Rica Primera División | 1-1 |
| 2025-10-26 | LD Alajuelense | Perez Zeledon | Costa Rica Primera División | 3-2 |
| 2025-09-07 | Perez Zeledon | LD Alajuelense | Costa Rica Primera División | 2-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Perez Zeledon vs LD Alajuelense odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 23.0%, draw 26.8%, away 50.2%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 4.03 | 3.38 | 1.80 |
| Betano | 3.95 | 3.40 | 1.88 |
| Betfair | 3.90 | 3.50 | 1.80 |
| Marathonbet | 3.95 | 3.38 | 1.78 |
| Pinnacle | 4.04 | 3.51 | 1.86 |
| SBO | 3.43 | 3.04 | 1.82 |
| Unibet | 3.95 | 3.40 | 1.77 |
| William Hill | 3.80 | 3.10 | 1.83 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
10 snapshots recorded, from .