Costa Rica Primera División
·
Full time
·Apertura - 6
San Carlos
vs
Puntarenas FC
1 – 2 Full time
| 21′ | Y. Tejeda | ||
| 39′ | D. Castrillo | ||
| 46′ | J. Aguilar | ||
| 53′ | D. Castrillo | ||
| 59′ | B. SeguraA. Sinclair | ||
| 59′ | K. FajardoW. Cortes | ||
| 63′ | K. CerdasC. Agualimpia | ||
| 63′ | R. CordobaO. Rojas | ||
| 65′ | R. Cole | ||
| 69′ | A. PinedaD. Rojas | ||
| 69′ | D. CastrilloP. Alvarez | ||
| 72′ | D. Rojas | ||
| 77′ | Y. TejedaR. Taylor | ||
| 83′ | J. AguilarR. Vidal | ||
| 84′ | San CarlosJ. Valverde | ||
| 84′ | J. VenegasA. Guevara | ||
| 90′ | J. Vega | ||
| 90′ | Puntarenas FC | ||
| 90′ | A. Sinclair |
San Carlos
44%
Draw
28%
Puntarenas FC
27%
San Carlos vs Puntarenas FC overview
Garuda Lions analysis: San Carlos vs Puntarenas FC
| Probability | San Carlos | Draw | Puntarenas FC |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 46.7% | 29.3% | 24.0% |
| Market | 43.3% | 28.2% | 28.4% |
| Final | 44.2% | 28.5% | 27.3% |
| Edge | +3.4% | +1.1% | -4.5% |
Why San Carlos
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.43 vs 0.96.
- Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
- The market prices San Carlos below the model: +3.4 percentage points of edge.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
90%
2+ goals
70%
3+ goals
43%
No goals
10%
San Carlos and Puntarenas FC expected goals
San Carlos
1.43
Puntarenas FC
0.96
Total expected goals: 2.38
San Carlos and Puntarenas FC attack and defence ratings
San Carlos
Attack
0.80 -20%
Defence
1.02 +2%
Puntarenas FC
Attack
0.87 -13%
Defence
1.30 +30%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
San Carlos vs Puntarenas FC: result vs prediction
San Carlos 1 – 2 Puntarenas FC
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Apertura - 6 fixtures
Before and after this match
San Carlos vs Puntarenas FC markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | San Carlos | 44.2% | 2.26 | +3.4% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 57.4% | 1.74 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 52.0% | 1.92 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 72.7% | 1.38 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 53.3% | 1.88 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | San Carlos | 44.2% |
| Draw | 28.5% | |
| Puntarenas FC | 27.3% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 42.6% |
| Under 2.5 | 57.4% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 48.0% |
| No | 52.0% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 72.7% |
| 12 (either side) | 71.5% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 55.8% | |
| Handicap -1 | San Carlos win | 23.5% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 23.2% | |
| Loss | 53.3% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 13.8% |
| 1-0 | 11.9% | |
| 0-0 | 10.5% |
San Carlos vs Puntarenas FC stats
San Carlos and Puntarenas FC recent form
| San Carlos |
WWLLDL |
| Puntarenas FC |
WLLDDL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
San Carlos and Puntarenas FC going into this match
San Carlos record
- They have won 3 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 0.8 goals per match.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 6 matches.
- 38% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Puntarenas FC record
- They have won 2 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
- They average 1.3 goals per game on the road against 0.7 at home.
- 32% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
San Carlos vs Puntarenas FC head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
4San Carlos wins
4Draws
2Puntarenas FC wins
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-05 | Puntarenas FC | San Carlos | Costa Rica Primera División | 0-0 |
| 2026-01-22 | San Carlos | Puntarenas FC | Costa Rica Primera División | 1-0 |
| 2025-11-24 | San Carlos | Puntarenas FC | Costa Rica Primera División | 1-1 |
| 2025-07-26 | Puntarenas FC | San Carlos | Costa Rica Primera División | 1-2 |
| 2025-04-12 | Puntarenas FC | San Carlos | Primera División | 1-0 |
| 2025-02-16 | San Carlos | Puntarenas FC | Primera División | 0-1 |
| 2024-12-01 | Puntarenas FC | San Carlos | Primera División | 0-1 |
| 2024-09-16 | San Carlos | Puntarenas FC | Primera División | 2-1 |
| 2024-04-27 | Puntarenas FC | San Carlos | Primera División | 2-2 |
| 2024-02-25 | San Carlos | Puntarenas FC | Primera División | 1-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
San Carlos vs Puntarenas FC odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 43.3%, draw 28.2%, away 28.4%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 2.10 | 3.25 | 3.20 |
| 1xBet | 2.09 | 3.18 | 3.26 |
| Bet365 | 2.10 | 3.20 | 3.25 |
| BetVictor | 2.10 | 3.25 | 3.20 |
| Betano | 2.15 | 3.30 | 3.20 |
| Dafabet | 2.13 | 3.25 | 3.30 |
| Marathonbet | 2.07 | 3.18 | 3.20 |
| Pinnacle | 2.19 | 3.33 | 3.42 |
| SBO | 2.00 | 3.05 | 3.09 |
| Superbet | 2.15 | 3.25 | 3.25 |
| Unibet | 2.08 | 3.15 | 3.20 |
| William Hill | 2.10 | 3.00 | 3.10 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
1
2.10 ▲ +0.13
X
3.23 ▼ -0.09
2
3.20 ▼ -0.24
11 snapshots recorded, from .