Costa Rica Primera División
·
Full time
·Apertura - 7
San Carlos
vs
Sporting San Jose
1 – 0 Full time
| 20′ | K. Cerdas | ||
| 32′ | J. Mendez | ||
| 39′ | E. HernandezP. Aguero | ||
| 40′ | B. Martinez | ||
| 45′ | C. Pineda | ||
| 45′ | C. Agualimpia | ||
| 46′ | K. BlandonG. Leiva | ||
| 46′ | J. NavarroJ. Pinto | ||
| 56′ | R. CarballoM. George Clayton | ||
| 59′ | J. BatistaA. Lopez | ||
| 60′ | P. Aguero | ||
| 66′ | K. CerdasC. Martinez | ||
| 71′ | J. MendezD. Colindres | ||
| 73′ | B. MartinezJ. Valverde | ||
| 73′ | R. CordobaP. Fonseca | ||
| 73′ | C. AgualimpiaR. Vidal | ||
| 84′ | B. Martinez | ||
| 90′ | A. Carevic |
San Carlos
27%
Draw
29%
Sporting San Jose
44%
San Carlos vs Sporting San Jose overview
Garuda Lions analysis: San Carlos vs Sporting San Jose
| Probability | San Carlos | Draw | Sporting San Jose |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 20.7% | 30.7% | 48.6% |
| Market | 29.1% | 29.0% | 41.9% |
| Final | 27.0% | 29.4% | 43.6% |
| Edge | -8.4% | +1.7% | +6.7% |
Why Sporting San Jose
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.35 vs 0.79.
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
- The market prices Sporting San Jose below the model: +6.7 percentage points of edge.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
87%
2+ goals
64%
3+ goals
36%
No goals
13%
San Carlos and Sporting San Jose expected goals
San Carlos
0.79
Sporting San Jose
1.35
Total expected goals: 2.14
San Carlos and Sporting San Jose attack and defence ratings
San Carlos
Attack
0.80 -20%
Defence
1.09 +9%
Sporting San Jose
Attack
1.12 +12%
Defence
0.72 -28%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
San Carlos vs Sporting San Jose: result vs prediction
San Carlos 1 – 0 Sporting San Jose
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Apertura - 7 fixtures
Before and after this match
San Carlos vs Sporting San Jose markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Sporting San Jose | 43.6% | 2.30 | +6.7% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 64.0% | 1.56 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 58.4% | 1.71 | — | — |
| Double chance | X2 (draw or away) | 73.0% | 1.37 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 51.2% | 1.95 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | San Carlos | 27.0% |
| Draw | 29.4% | |
| Sporting San Jose | 43.6% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 36.0% |
| Under 2.5 | 64.0% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 41.6% |
| No | 58.4% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 56.4% |
| 12 (either side) | 70.6% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 73.0% | |
| Handicap -1 | Sporting San Jose win | 24.0% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 24.8% | |
| Loss | 51.2% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 0-1 | 14.6% |
| 1-1 | 13.8% | |
| 0-0 | 13.1% |
San Carlos vs Sporting San Jose stats
San Carlos and Sporting San Jose recent form
| San Carlos |
LWWLLD |
| Sporting San Jose |
WWWLDD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
San Carlos and Sporting San Jose going into this match
San Carlos record
- They have won 3 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 0.8 goals per match.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 6 matches.
- 38% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Sporting San Jose record
- They have won 3 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.7 goals per match.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 6 matches.
San Carlos vs Sporting San Jose head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
4San Carlos wins
1Draws
5Sporting San Jose wins
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-15 | Sporting San Jose | San Carlos | Costa Rica Primera División | 1-0 |
| 2026-01-19 | San Carlos | Sporting San Jose | Costa Rica Primera División | 3-0 |
| 2025-09-29 | San Carlos | Sporting San Jose | Costa Rica Primera División | 0-3 |
| 2025-08-16 | Sporting San Jose | San Carlos | Costa Rica Primera División | 1-1 |
| 2025-05-03 | Sporting San Jose | San Carlos | Primera División | 1-0 |
| 2025-01-21 | San Carlos | Sporting San Jose | Primera División | 0-1 |
| 2024-10-06 | San Carlos | Sporting San Jose | Primera División | 2-0 |
| 2024-08-31 | Sporting San Jose | San Carlos | Primera División | 2-3 |
| 2024-04-22 | San Carlos | Sporting San Jose | Primera División | 0-1 |
| 2024-02-17 | Sporting San Jose | San Carlos | Primera División | 0-2 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
San Carlos vs Sporting San Jose odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 30.1%, draw 29.0%, away 40.9%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 3.14 | 3.12 | 2.17 |
| Bet365 | 3.00 | 3.00 | 2.15 |
| BetVictor | 3.13 | 3.13 | 2.20 |
| Betano | 2.95 | 3.15 | 2.37 |
| Dafabet | 2.85 | 3.10 | 2.33 |
| Marathonbet | 3.08 | 3.12 | 2.15 |
| Pinnacle | 3.26 | 3.36 | 2.22 |
| SBO | 2.71 | 2.86 | 2.21 |
| Superbet | 2.90 | 3.15 | 2.37 |
| Unibet | 2.65 | 3.05 | 2.48 |
| William Hill | 3.00 | 3.00 | 2.15 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
1
3.10 ▲ +0.17
X
3.12 —
2
2.16 ▼ -0.18
12 snapshots recorded, from .