Inter San Carlos
vs
Deportivo Saprissa
1 – 0 Full time
Inter San Carlos vs Deportivo Saprissa overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Inter San Carlos vs Deportivo Saprissa
| Probability | Inter San Carlos | Draw | Deportivo Saprissa |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 27.6% | 27.0% | 45.4% |
| Market | 18.3% | 26.3% | 55.4% |
| Final | 20.6% | 26.5% | 52.9% |
| Edge | +9.3% | +0.7% | -10.0% |
Why Deportivo Saprissa
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.60 vs 1.20.
- Better recent form: 5 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Inter San Carlos and Deportivo Saprissa expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.80
Inter San Carlos and Deportivo Saprissa attack and defence ratings
Inter San Carlos
Deportivo Saprissa
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Inter San Carlos vs Deportivo Saprissa: result vs prediction
Inter San Carlos 1 – 0 Deportivo Saprissa
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Apertura - 5 fixtures
Before and after this match
Inter San Carlos vs Deportivo Saprissa markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Deportivo Saprissa | 52.9% | 1.89 | -10.0% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 53.1% | 1.88 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 57.0% | 1.75 | — | — |
| Double chance | X2 (draw or away) | 79.4% | 1.26 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 54.6% | 1.83 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Inter San Carlos | 20.6% |
| Draw | 26.5% | |
| Deportivo Saprissa | 52.9% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 53.1% |
| Under 2.5 | 46.9% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 57.0% |
| No | 43.0% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 47.1% |
| 12 (either side) | 73.5% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 79.4% | |
| Handicap -1 | Deportivo Saprissa win | 24.0% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21.4% | |
| Loss | 54.6% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 12.8% |
| 1-2 | 9.3% | |
| 0-1 | 8.5% |
Inter San Carlos vs Deportivo Saprissa stats
Inter San Carlos and Deportivo Saprissa recent form
| Inter San Carlos |
WWDL |
| Deportivo Saprissa |
WWWWLW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 4 completed matches.
Inter San Carlos and Deportivo Saprissa going into this match
Inter San Carlos record
- They have won 3 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
- They average 1.3 goals per game at home against 0.7 on the road.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 6 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- 47% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Deportivo Saprissa record
- They have won 5 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 2.3 goals per match.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
Inter San Carlos vs Deportivo Saprissa head-to-head
No recent meetings on record
Inter San Carlos vs Deportivo Saprissa odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 18.3%, draw 26.3%, away 55.4%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 4.40 | 3.70 | 1.65 |
| 1xBet | 5.34 | 3.32 | 1.64 |
| Bet365 | 5.25 | 3.40 | 1.57 |
| BetVictor | 5.00 | 3.60 | 1.62 |
| Betano | 5.10 | 3.40 | 1.70 |
| Betfair | 4.75 | 3.60 | 1.62 |
| Dafabet | 5.00 | 3.50 | 1.68 |
| Marathonbet | 5.50 | 3.38 | 1.58 |
| Pinnacle | 5.81 | 3.47 | 1.68 |
| SBO | 4.37 | 3.40 | 1.60 |
| Superbet | 5.00 | 3.55 | 1.66 |
| Unibet | 4.40 | 3.55 | 1.66 |
| William Hill | 4.80 | 3.10 | 1.65 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
4 snapshots recorded, from .