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Costa Rica Primera División · Full time ·Apertura - 9

LD Alajuelense vs Inter San Carlos

5 – 0 Full time

8′R. Wilson
9′W. Azofeifa
14′R. Cisneros
20′K. Michel
46′J. RamosA. Rodriguez Elizondo
46′R. VegaD. Vargas
46′W. AzofeifaK. Porras
46′Y. LealE. Torres
46′W. J. Ortega OliveraB. Mora
57′D. Vargas
60′C. MartinezJ. Sanchez
64′K. Michel
66′K. MichelJ. Ruiz
66′JuanpiF. Pinar
68′C. BorgesD. Aguilar
78′E. BarleyC. Perez
80′R. Cisneros
85′J. Ruiz
90′J. Sanchez

Estadio Alejandro Morera Soto, AlajuelaReferee: P. Camacho

LD Alajuelense 48%
Draw 27%
Inter San Carlos 25%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

LD Alajuelense vs Inter San Carlos overview

Garuda Lions analysis: LD Alajuelense vs Inter San Carlos

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityLD AlajuelenseDrawInter San Carlos
Model35.7%31.1%33.2%
Market52.0%25.9%22.1%
Final48.0%27.2%24.9%
Edge-16.3%+5.2%+11.1%

Confidence: Low

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

LD Alajuelense ↓ / Inter San Carl → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 11% 10% 1 11% 15% 7% 2 8% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 89%
2+ goals 68%
3+ goals 40%
No goals 11%

LD Alajuelense and Inter San Carlos expected goals

LD Alajuelense 1.17
Inter San Carlos 1.12

Total expected goals: 2.29

LD Alajuelense and Inter San Carlos attack and defence ratings

LD Alajuelense

Attack 1.09 +9%
Defence 1.07 +7%

Inter San Carlos

Attack 0.94 -6%
Defence 0.79 -21%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

LD Alajuelense vs Inter San Carlos: result vs prediction

LD Alajuelense 5 – 0 Inter San Carlos

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Apertura - 9 fixtures

Costa Rica Primera División

Before and after this match

LD Alajuelense vs Inter San Carlos markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 LD Alajuelense 48.0% 2.08 -16.3% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 59.9% 1.67 — —
Both teams to score No 52.3% 1.91 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 75.1% 1.33 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 64.3% 1.56 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2LD Alajuelense48.0%
Draw27.2%
Inter San Carlos24.9%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.540.1%
Under 2.559.9%
Both teams to scoreYes47.7%
No52.3%
Double chance1X (home or draw)75.1%
12 (either side)72.8%
X2 (draw or away)52.0%
Handicap -1LD Alajuelense win15.5%
Push (exactly one goal)20.2%
Loss64.3%
Correct score (top 3)1-114.6%
0-011.5%
1-010.5%

LD Alajuelense vs Inter San Carlos stats

LD Alajuelense and Inter San Carlos recent form

newest first
LD Alajuelense LLDLWW
Inter San Carlos DWLWWW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

LD Alajuelense and Inter San Carlos going into this match

league record before kick-off

LD Alajuelense record

  • They have won 3 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
  • They average 1.5 goals per game on the road against 1.0 at home.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.

Inter San Carlos record

  • They have won 4 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
  • They have kept 4 clean sheets in 8 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
  • They have converted 2 of 3 penalties (67%).
  • 42% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

LD Alajuelense vs Inter San Carlos head-to-head

No recent meetings on record

Our head-to-head history covers these clubs' top-flight matches from 2014 onwards — these two simply haven't crossed paths in that window (newly promoted sides and cross-division pairings are the usual reason). The prediction doesn't rely on H2H: it is built from each team's current expected-goals ratings.

LD Alajuelense vs Inter San Carlos odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 52.0%, draw 25.9%, away 22.1%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 1.74 3.25 4.46
Bet365 1.75 3.60 4.10
BetVictor 1.73 3.70 4.10
Betano 1.75 3.60 4.35
Betfair 1.73 3.60 4.00
Marathonbet 1.72 3.25 4.35
Pinnacle 1.79 3.37 5.06
SBO 1.69 3.49 3.70
William Hill 1.75 3.50 3.75

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 1.74 ▲ +0.11
X 3.50 ▲ +0.05
2 4.10 ▼ -1.04

14 snapshots recorded, from .